Major League Soccer · 2026Fri, 17 Jul 2026, 00:30 UTC

Chicago Fire

LLWWW

vsPre-match analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps

DDWLW

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: vancouver Whitecaps's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: chicago Fire's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Vancouver Whitecaps's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vancouver Whitecaps's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.43 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	2.43 goals/match	1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Chicago Fire have a visible home split

moderate

Chicago Fire's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	17.4 shots/match	14.8 shots/match	13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Vancouver Whitecaps show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Vancouver Whitecaps's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsChicago Fire · Vancouver Whitecaps17.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Chicago Fire	Vancouver Whitecaps	Baseline
Shots	14.8 shots/match	17.4 shots/match	13.1 shots/match
Shots against	11.9 shots/match	8.21 shots/match	12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Chicago Fire

0Draws

1Vancouver Whitecaps

23 Mar 2025Vancouver Whitecaps — Chicago Fire · Major League Soccer1–3

31 Aug 2023Chicago Fire — Vancouver Whitecaps · Major League Soccer0–1

24 Jul 2022Vancouver Whitecaps — Chicago Fire · Major League Soccer1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Chicago Fire favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Vancouver Whitecaps in 9

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Chicago Fire14 matchesVancouver Whitecaps14 matches

1.93 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 2.43 goals/match

1.14 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 0.86 goals/match

2.02 xG/matchExpected goals11/11▲ 2.45 xG/match

14.8 shots/matchShots14/14▲ 17.4 shots/match

5.21 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲ 6.86 shots/match

53.1%Possession14/14● 54.4%

4.57 corners/matchCorners14/14● 5.5 corners/match

2.25 cards/matchCards4/52.8 cards/match

12.8 fouls/matchFouls14/1415.6 fouls/match

Style profile

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Chicago Fire71.7

Vancouver Whitecaps78.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Chicago Fire77.2

Vancouver Whitecaps96.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Chicago Fire70.0

Vancouver Whitecaps96.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Chicago Fire68.3

Vancouver Whitecaps95.0

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Chicago Fire54.1

Vancouver Whitecaps81.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 64%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Chicago Fire33.3

Vancouver Whitecaps75.0

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Chicago Fire65.0

Vancouver Whitecaps91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches

54 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/154 days

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples14 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness54 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 17 Jul 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4