Major League Soccer · 2026Wed, 22 Jul 2026, 23:30 UTCFull timeTQL StadiumFull-time recap

FC Cincinnati

WDLDW

4–3Full-time recap

Vancouver Whitecaps

DDWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	FC Cincinnati	Vancouver Whitecaps
Shots	10 shots/match	19 shots/match▲
Shots on target	6 shots/match	6 shots/match
Expected goals	1.56 xG/match	1.82 xG/match▲
Possession	38%	62%
Corners	1 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: FC Cincinnati's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Vancouver Whitecaps's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

FC Cincinnati's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Cincinnati's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.5 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	3.6 goals/match	2.5 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Vancouver Whitecaps show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Vancouver Whitecaps's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match▲ShotsFC Cincinnati · Vancouver Whitecaps17.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	FC Cincinnati	Vancouver Whitecaps	Baseline
Shots	13.3 shots/match	17.5 shots/match	13 shots/match
Shots against	16.2 shots/match	8.33 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

FC Cincinnati favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Vancouver Whitecaps in 9 · 5 too close

2.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/152.47 goals/match

2.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/15▲1.07 goals/match

1.8 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 14/12▲2.4 xG/match

1.71 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 14/12▲0.97 xG/match

13.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/15▲17.5 shots/match

16.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/15▲8.33 shots/match

5.69 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/15▲6.8 shots/match

5.69 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/15▲3 shots/match

48.7%Possessionseason · 16/1554.9%

4.44 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/155.33 corners/match

4.81 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/15▲3.27 corners/match

2.86 cards/matchCardsseason · 7/52.8 cards/match

12.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1515.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/15▲33%

88%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1587%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

FC Cincinnati45

Vancouver Whitecaps81.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

FC Cincinnati81.1

Vancouver Whitecaps95

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

FC Cincinnati13.3

Vancouver Whitecaps96.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

FC Cincinnati58.3

Vancouver Whitecaps95

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

FC Cincinnati66.7

Vancouver Whitecaps81.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 67%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

FC Cincinnati28.3

Vancouver Whitecaps70

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

FC Cincinnati60.4

Vancouver Whitecaps90.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

3.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/52.2 goals/match

3 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲2 goals/match

1.88 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.6 xG/match

12.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲16.2 shots/match

6.2 shots/matchShots on target5/56.4 shots/match

46.2%Possession5/555.6%

2.8 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match

—Cards0/2—

14.2 fouls/matchFouls5/513.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

3.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/102.3 goals/match

2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.4 goals/match

1.99 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲2.38 xG/match

13 shots/matchShots10/10▲19.2 shots/match

5.9 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲7.1 shots/match

47.5%Possession10/1053.8%

3.6 corners/matchCorners10/105.5 corners/match

—Cards2/2—

12.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 15 matches

2.5 goals/matchGoals scored16/152.47 goals/match

2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed16/15▲1.07 goals/match

1.8 xG/matchExpected goals14/12▲2.4 xG/match

13.3 shots/matchShots16/15▲17.5 shots/match

5.69 shots/matchShots on target16/15▲6.8 shots/match

48.7%Possession16/1554.9%

4.44 corners/matchCorners16/155.33 corners/match

2.86 cards/matchCards7/52.8 cards/match

12.5 fouls/matchFouls16/1515.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 7 matches

3 goals/match▲Goals scored8/72.29 goals/match

2.13 goals/matchGoals allowed8/7▲1.71 goals/match

2.19 xG/match▲Expected goals7/61.79 xG/match

14.8 shots/matchShots8/7▲16.6 shots/match

5.88 shots/matchShots on target8/7▲6.57 shots/match

50.1%Possession8/756.6%

4.38 corners/matchCorners8/74.14 corners/match

—Cards2/33.67 cards/match

13.9 fouls/matchFouls8/714 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

60 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/159.9 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples16 / 15home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 23 Jul 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

FC Cincinnati's recent record differs from the season

Vancouver Whitecaps show a distinct attacking-volume record

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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