Major League Soccer · 2026

Columbus Crew 1–2 New York City FC · Major League Soccer

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

New York City FC won 1–2.

Shots
118
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.671.41
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

New York City FC beat Columbus Crew 2–1. Recorded in this match (Columbus Crew – New York City FC): shots 11–8, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.67–1.41, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

New York City FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

New York City FC's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.8 shots/match11.2 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

New York City FC have a visible away split

moderate

New York City FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.5 shots/match11.2 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

New York City FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

New York City FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsColumbus Crew · New York City FC11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricColumbus CrewNew York City FCBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match11.2 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against9.56 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots8 shotsColumbus Crew 11 shots, New York City FC 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsColumbus Crew 4 shots, New York City FC 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.67 xG1.41 xGColumbus Crew 1.67 xG, New York City FC 1.41 xG
  • Possession59%41%Columbus Crew 59%, New York City FC 41%
  • Corners3 corners0 cornersColumbus Crew 3 corners, New York City FC 0 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls11 foulsColumbus Crew 7 fouls, New York City FC 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Columbus Crew
1Draws
2New York City FC
New York City FC — Columbus Crew · Major League Soccer3–0
New York City FC — Columbus Crew · Major League Soccer3–2
Columbus Crew — New York City FC · Major League Soccer0–0
Columbus Crew — New York City FC · Major League Soccer4–2
New York City FC — Columbus Crew · Major League Soccer2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Columbus Crew favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · New York City FC in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Columbus Crew16 matchesNew York City FC16 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 1.69 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 1.38 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals13/131.12 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots16/1611.2 shots/match
4.06 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲ 5 shots/match
57.4% ●Possession16/1655.8%
5.25 corners/match ●Corners16/163.31 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCards4/42.5 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 23 Jul 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

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