PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Wed, 22 Jul 2026, 23:30 UTCFull timeScottsMiracle-Gro FieldFull-time recap
1–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricColumbus CrewNew York City FC
Shots11 shots/match▲8 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match5 shots/match▲
Expected goals1.67 xG/match▲1.41 xG/match
Possession59%41%
Corners3 corners/match0 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match11 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: New York City FC's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: New York City FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

New York City FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

New York City FC's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.8 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.8 shots/match11.2 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

New York City FC have a visible away split

moderate

New York City FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.5 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.5 shots/match11.2 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

New York City FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

New York City FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.5 shots/match▲ShotsColumbus Crew · New York City FC11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricColumbus CrewNew York City FCBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match11.2 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against9.56 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Columbus Crew
0Draws
1New York City FC
New York City FC — Columbus Crew · Major League Soccer3–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Columbus Crew favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · New York City FC in 3 · 7 too close

1.38 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/16▲1.69 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/16▲1.38 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/131.12 xG/match
1.17 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 13/131.49 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/1611.2 shots/match
9.56 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 16/1612.1 shots/match
4.06 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/16▲5 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 16/164.75 shots/match
57.4%Possessionseason · 16/1655.8%
5.25 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/163.31 corners/match
3.63 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 16/164.94 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/42.5 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1611.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
19%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/1619%
81%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1681%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Columbus Crew95
New York City FC88.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Columbus Crew25
New York City FC50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Columbus Crew76.7
New York City FC59.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Columbus Crew8.3
New York City FC11.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Columbus Crew9.2
New York City FC49.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Columbus Crew63.3
New York City FC1.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Columbus Crew30
New York City FC34.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match
1.27 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.15 xG/match
9.8 shots/match▲Shots5/57.8 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4 shots/match
61.2%Possession5/548.8%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/51.8 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
8.4 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.3 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.5 goals/match
1.17 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.04 xG/match
11.4 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.3 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.5 shots/match
60.2%Possession10/1055.8%
4.4 corners/matchCorners10/102.9 corners/match
—Cards1/1—
9.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲1.69 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲1.38 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals13/131.12 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots16/1611.2 shots/match
4.06 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲5 shots/match
57.4%Possession16/1655.8%
5.25 corners/matchCorners16/163.31 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCards4/42.5 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches
1.25 goals/match▲Goals scored8/81 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/81.13 goals/match
1.15 xG/match▲Expected goals7/60.96 xG/match
12 shots/match▲Shots8/88.5 shots/match
4.25 shots/match▲Shots on target8/83.5 shots/match
58.5%Possession8/855.1%
4.5 corners/matchCorners8/82.25 corners/match
—Cards2/33.33 cards/match
9.5 fouls/matchFouls8/813.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

59.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/160 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 23 Jul 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsColumbus CrewNew York City FC
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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