Columbus Crew 2–1 FC Cincinnati — Match Stats & Analysis

Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 25 Jul 2026, 23:15 UTCLower.com Field

Columbus Crew

LLDWL

2–1Full-time analysis

FC Cincinnati

DLDWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Columbus Crew won 2–1.

Shots: 1312
Shots on target: 65
Expected goals: 2.290.84
Possession: 53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Columbus Crew beat FC Cincinnati 2–1. Recorded in this match (Columbus Crew – FC Cincinnati): shots 13–12, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 2.29–0.84, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Cincinnati's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Cincinnati's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.41 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	3.4 goals/match	2.41 goals/match	1.58 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Columbus Crew, FC Cincinnati.

2.99 days ▲Rest daysColumbus Crew · FC Cincinnati2.99 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Columbus Crew	FC Cincinnati	Baseline
Rest days	2.99 days	2.99 days	—
Matches last 14 days	1 match	1 match	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Columbus Crew have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.2% ●PossessionColumbus Crew · FC Cincinnati48.6%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.6 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Columbus Crew	FC Cincinnati	Baseline
Possession	57.2%	48.6%	49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

Shots13 shots12 shotsColumbus Crew 13 shots, FC Cincinnati 12 shots
Shots on target6 shots5 shotsColumbus Crew 6 shots, FC Cincinnati 5 shots
Expected goals2.29 xG0.84 xGColumbus Crew 2.29 xG, FC Cincinnati 0.84 xG
Possession53%47%Columbus Crew 53%, FC Cincinnati 47%
Corners4 corners5 cornersColumbus Crew 4 corners, FC Cincinnati 5 corners
Fouls11 fouls8 foulsColumbus Crew 11 fouls, FC Cincinnati 8 fouls
Yellow cards1 card1 cardColumbus Crew 1 card, FC Cincinnati 1 card
Passes531 passes462 passesColumbus Crew 531 passes, FC Cincinnati 462 passes
Pass accuracy90.6%88.1%Columbus Crew 90.6%, FC Cincinnati 88.1%
Shots inside box8 shots6 shotsColumbus Crew 8 shots, FC Cincinnati 6 shots
Blocked shots2 blocks2 blocksColumbus Crew 2 blocks, FC Cincinnati 2 blocks
Goalkeeper saves4 saves4 savesColumbus Crew 4 saves, FC Cincinnati 4 saves
Offsides2 offsides2 offsidesColumbus Crew 2 offsides, FC Cincinnati 2 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Columbus Crew: 13 shots, 6 on target, 2.27 xG. FC Cincinnati: 12 shots, 5 on target, 0.81 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Columbus Crew 2.27 xG · FC Cincinnati 0.81 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Columbus Crew

1Draws

2FC Cincinnati

8 Nov 2025FC Cincinnati — Columbus Crew · Major League Soccer2–1

2 Nov 2025Columbus Crew — FC Cincinnati · Major League Soccer4–0

27 Oct 2025FC Cincinnati — Columbus Crew · Major League Soccer1–0

13 Jul 2025FC Cincinnati — Columbus Crew · Major League Soccer2–4

17 May 2025Columbus Crew — FC Cincinnati · Major League Soccer1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Columbus Crew favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · FC Cincinnati in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Columbus Crew17 matchesFC Cincinnati17 matches

1.41 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 2.41 goals/match

1.53 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/172.47 goals/match

1.18 xG/matchExpected goals14/15▲ 1.74 xG/match

11.6 shots/matchShots17/17▲ 13.2 shots/match

4.18 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 5.65 shots/match

57.2% ●Possession17/1748.6%

5.18 corners/match ●Corners17/174.47 corners/match

1.2 cards/matchCards5/82.75 cards/match

10.2 fouls/matchFouls17/1712.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready

Season samples17 / 17home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Jul 2026, 03:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Match at a glance

What the match recorded