PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Subaru Park
1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Philadelphia Union won 1–0.

Shots
157
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
1.360.36
Possession
44%56%

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots7 shotsPhiladelphia Union 15 shots, Seattle Sounders FC 7 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotPhiladelphia Union 5 shots, Seattle Sounders FC 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.36 xG0.36 xGPhiladelphia Union 1.36 xG, Seattle Sounders FC 0.36 xG
  • Possession44%56%Philadelphia Union 44%, Seattle Sounders FC 56%
  • Corners6 corners1 cornerPhiladelphia Union 6 corners, Seattle Sounders FC 1 corner
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsPhiladelphia Union 11 fouls, Seattle Sounders FC 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardPhiladelphia Union 0 cards, Seattle Sounders FC 1 card
  • Passes347 passes454 passesPhiladelphia Union 347 passes, Seattle Sounders FC 454 passes
  • Pass accuracy72.9%77.5%Philadelphia Union 72.9%, Seattle Sounders FC 77.5%
  • Shots inside box9 shots6 shotsPhiladelphia Union 9 shots, Seattle Sounders FC 6 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks1 blockPhiladelphia Union 3 blocks, Seattle Sounders FC 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save4 savesPhiladelphia Union 1 save, Seattle Sounders FC 4 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesPhiladelphia Union 1 offside, Seattle Sounders FC 0 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kai Wagner · Philadelphia Union · 6′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHassani Dotson · Seattle Sounders FC · 66′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCavan Sullivan · Philadelphia Union · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMilan Iloski · Philadelphia Union · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBruno Damiani · Philadelphia Union · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPaul Rothrock · Seattle Sounders FC · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKai Wagner · Philadelphia Union · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Rusnák · Seattle Sounders FC · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCavan Sullivan · Philadelphia Union · 85′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPaul Rothrock · Seattle Sounders FC · 9′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCavan Sullivan · Philadelphia Union · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedQuinn Sullivan · Philadelphia Union · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCavan Sullivan · Philadelphia Union · 89′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPaul Arriola · Seattle Sounders FC · 55′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMilan Iloski · Philadelphia Union · 77′ · 0.06 xG · on targetOsaze De Rosario · Seattle Sounders FC · 18′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedQuinn Sullivan · Philadelphia Union · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetPeter Kingston · Seattle Sounders FC · 75′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEzekiel Alladoh · Philadelphia Union · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedQuinn Sullivan · Philadelphia Union · 76′ · 0.19 xG · on targetCavan Sullivan · Philadelphia Union · 51′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedMilan Iloski · Philadelphia Union · 31′ · 0.34 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Philadelphia Union: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.36 xG. Seattle Sounders FC: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.36 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Milan Iloski · Philadelphia Union · 31′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Philadelphia Union 1.36 xG · Seattle Sounders FC 0.36 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Philadelphia Union beat Seattle Sounders FC 1–0. Recorded in this match (Philadelphia Union – Seattle Sounders FC): shots 15–7, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 1.36–0.36, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Philadelphia Union's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Philadelphia Union's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.29 goals/match1.58 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Philadelphia Union, Seattle Sounders FC.

3 days ▲Rest daysPhiladelphia Union · Seattle Sounders FC2.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricPhiladelphia UnionSeattle Sounders FCBaseline
Rest days3 days2.92 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Seattle Sounders FC have a visible away split

moderate

Seattle Sounders FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match13.1 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Philadelphia Union
0Draws
1Seattle Sounders FC
Philadelphia Union — Seattle Sounders FC · Major League Soccer2–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Philadelphia Union favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Seattle Sounders FC in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Philadelphia Union17 matchesSeattle Sounders FC16 matches
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/161.19 goals/match
1.82 goals/matchGoals allowed17/16▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.58 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/131.4 xG/match
15.4 shots/match ▲Shots17/1613.1 shots/match
4.59 shots/matchShots on target17/16▲ 5.06 shots/match
45.4%Possession17/16● 52.9%
5.88 corners/match ●Corners17/165.06 corners/match
3.5 cards/matchCards4/42.25 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls17/169.19 fouls/match

Style profile

Style profile

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Philadelphia Union15.0
Seattle Sounders FC71.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Philadelphia Union50.0
Seattle Sounders FC46.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Philadelphia Union71.1
Seattle Sounders FC55.0
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Philadelphia Union98.3
Seattle Sounders FC38.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Philadelphia Union95.0
Seattle Sounders FC20.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 62%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Philadelphia Union85.0
Seattle Sounders FC58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Philadelphia Union77.9
Seattle Sounders FC46.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.92 days
1 matchMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Philadelphia Union / Seattle Sounders FC

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples17 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Jul 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPhiladelphia UnionSeattle Sounders FC
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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