PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Allianz Field
0–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Minnesota United and Vancouver Whitecaps drew 0–0.

Shots
1111
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.970.46
Possession
36%64%

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots11 shotsMinnesota United 11 shots, Vancouver Whitecaps 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsMinnesota United 3 shots, Vancouver Whitecaps 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.97 xG0.46 xGMinnesota United 0.97 xG, Vancouver Whitecaps 0.46 xG
  • Possession36%64%Minnesota United 36%, Vancouver Whitecaps 64%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersMinnesota United 5 corners, Vancouver Whitecaps 2 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls13 foulsMinnesota United 7 fouls, Vancouver Whitecaps 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardMinnesota United 2 cards, Vancouver Whitecaps 1 card
  • Passes340 passes617 passesMinnesota United 340 passes, Vancouver Whitecaps 617 passes
  • Pass accuracy73.8%87.8%Minnesota United 73.8%, Vancouver Whitecaps 87.8%
  • Shots inside box8 shots4 shotsMinnesota United 8 shots, Vancouver Whitecaps 4 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks1 blockMinnesota United 2 blocks, Vancouver Whitecaps 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves3 savesMinnesota United 5 saves, Vancouver Whitecaps 3 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideMinnesota United 0 offsides, Vancouver Whitecaps 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mihail Gherasimencov · Vancouver Whitecaps · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Dieng · Minnesota United · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCheick Tidiane Sabaly · Vancouver Whitecaps · 23′ · 0.03 xG · on targetOliver Larraz · Vancouver Whitecaps · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoaquín Pereyra · Minnesota United · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedThomas Müller · Vancouver Whitecaps · 76′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSam Adekugbe · Vancouver Whitecaps · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndrés Cubas · Vancouver Whitecaps · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJeevan Badwal · Vancouver Whitecaps · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBrian White · Vancouver Whitecaps · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Dieng · Minnesota United · 21′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRyan Gauld · Vancouver Whitecaps · 77′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAnthony Markanich · Minnesota United · 21′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBrian White · Vancouver Whitecaps · 6′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRyan Gauld · Vancouver Whitecaps · 63′ · 0.07 xG · on targetWil Trapp · Minnesota United · 34′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Dieng · Minnesota United · 55′ · 0.09 xG · on targetTomás Chancalay · Minnesota United · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKelvin Yeboah · Minnesota United · 43′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedTomás Chancalay · Minnesota United · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Dieng · Minnesota United · 20′ · 0.20 xG · on targetDevin Padelford · Minnesota United · 82′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Minnesota United: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.08 xG. Vancouver Whitecaps: 11 shots, 5 on target, 0.44 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Minnesota United 1.08 xG · Vancouver Whitecaps 0.44 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Minnesota United and Vancouver Whitecaps drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (Minnesota United – Vancouver Whitecaps): shots 11–11, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.97–0.46, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Minnesota United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Minnesota United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.12 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.12 goals/match1.58 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Minnesota United, Vancouver Whitecaps.

3 days ▲Rest daysMinnesota United · Vancouver Whitecaps3.04 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricMinnesota UnitedVancouver WhitecapsBaseline
Rest days3 days3.04 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Vancouver Whitecaps show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Vancouver Whitecaps's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.2 shots/match ▲ShotsMinnesota United · Vancouver Whitecaps17.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMinnesota UnitedVancouver WhitecapsBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match17.1 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against12.2 shots/match8.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Minnesota United
1Draws
3Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps — Minnesota United · Major League Soccer6–0
Vancouver Whitecaps — Minnesota United · Major League Soccer0–0
Minnesota United — Vancouver Whitecaps · Major League Soccer1–3
Vancouver Whitecaps — Minnesota United · Major League Soccer0–1
Minnesota United — Vancouver Whitecaps · Major League Soccer1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Minnesota United favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Vancouver Whitecaps in 12 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Minnesota United17 matchesVancouver Whitecaps16 matches
1.12 goals/matchGoals scored17/16▲ 2.31 goals/match
1.41 goals/matchGoals allowed17/16▲ 1 goal/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals14/13▲ 2.25 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots17/16▲ 17.1 shots/match
4.53 shots/matchShots on target17/16▲ 6.69 shots/match
47.3%Possession17/16● 55.5%
5.24 corners/match ●Corners17/165.13 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/52.8 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls17/1615.3 fouls/match

Style profile

Style profile

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Minnesota United28.3
Vancouver Whitecaps88.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Minnesota United34.4
Vancouver Whitecaps96.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Minnesota United58.3
Vancouver Whitecaps96.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Minnesota United68.3
Vancouver Whitecaps95.0
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Minnesota United29.1
Vancouver Whitecaps85.0
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 65%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Minnesota United71.7
Vancouver Whitecaps65.0
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Minnesota United54.2
Vancouver Whitecaps90.0
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

  • Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.04 days

Minnesota United / Vancouver Whitecaps

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples17 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Jul 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMinnesota UnitedVancouver Whitecaps
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headMinnesota United — Vancouver Whitecaps
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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