Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 26 Jul 2026, 00:30 UTCScheduledCITYPARKPre-match analysis

St. Louis City

WDWWW

vsPre-match analysis

Colorado Rapids

LWLLW

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: St. Louis City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for St. Louis City, Colorado Rapids. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

St. Louis City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

St. Louis City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.4 goals/match	1.38 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for St. Louis City, Colorado Rapids.

2.92 days▲Rest daysSt. Louis City · Colorado Rapids2.96 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	St. Louis City	Colorado Rapids	Baseline
Rest days	2.92 days	2.96 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	1 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Colorado Rapids have a visible away split

moderate

Colorado Rapids's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.11 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	8.11 shots/match	10.8 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1St. Louis City

0Draws

0Colorado Rapids

10 May 2026Colorado Rapids — St. Louis City · Major League Soccer0–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

St. Louis City favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Colorado Rapids in 2 · 6 too close

1.38 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/16▲1.63 goals/match

1.44 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/161.5 goals/match

1.62 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 13/131.25 xG/match

1.18 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 13/131.45 xG/match

14.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 16/1610.8 shots/match

11.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/1611.8 shots/match

4.63 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 16/164.13 shots/match

4.19 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 16/164.44 shots/match

49.8%Possessionseason · 16/1655.4%

5.88 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/164.81 corners/match

4.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/164.63 corners/match

3.2 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 5/73.57 cards/match

13.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1614.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/16▲25%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1675%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

St. Louis City48.3

Colorado Rapids85

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

St. Louis City52.8

Colorado Rapids26.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

St. Louis City76.1

Colorado Rapids64.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

St. Louis City75

Colorado Rapids5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

St. Louis City83.3

Colorado Rapids95

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 66%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

St. Louis City86.7

Colorado Rapids51.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

St. Louis City71.7

Colorado Rapids43

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match

1.65 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.77 xG/match

15 shots/match▲Shots5/59.4 shots/match

5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match

49.6%Possession5/553.4%

4.8 corners/matchCorners5/56.4 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

14.8 fouls/matchFouls5/515.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.7 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.3 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.4 goals/match

1.75 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.05 xG/match

14.3 shots/match▲Shots10/109.9 shots/match

4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.2 shots/match

50.4%Possession10/1056.7%

6 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match

—Cards2/34 cards/match

14.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches

1.38 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲1.63 goals/match

1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed16/161.5 goals/match

1.62 xG/match▲Expected goals13/131.25 xG/match

14.1 shots/match▲Shots16/1610.8 shots/match

4.63 shots/match▲Shots on target16/164.13 shots/match

49.8%Possession16/1655.4%

5.88 corners/matchCorners16/164.81 corners/match

3.2 cards/matchCards5/73.57 cards/match

13.1 fouls/matchFouls16/1614.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 9 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored7/91.11 goals/match

1.29 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/91.67 goals/match

1.7 xG/match▲Expected goals5/81.13 xG/match

15.7 shots/match▲Shots7/98.11 shots/match

5.86 shots/match▲Shots on target7/93.33 shots/match

51%Possession7/954.9%

5.71 corners/matchCorners7/94.11 corners/match

—Cards2/2—

13.4 fouls/matchFouls7/914.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.92 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.96 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples16 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness3 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Jul 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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What the record shows

St. Louis City's recent record differs from the season

Recent scheduling adds useful context

Colorado Rapids have a visible away split

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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