Major League Soccer · 2026Children's Mercy Park
21Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Sporting Kansas City won 2–1.

Shots
1116
Shots on target
710
Expected goals
1.161.5
Possession
34%66%

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots16 shotsSporting Kansas City 11 shots, Minnesota United 16 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots10 shotsSporting Kansas City 7 shots, Minnesota United 10 shots
  • Expected goals1.16 xG1.5 xGSporting Kansas City 1.16 xG, Minnesota United 1.5 xG
  • Possession34%66%Sporting Kansas City 34%, Minnesota United 66%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersSporting Kansas City 3 corners, Minnesota United 6 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls7 foulsSporting Kansas City 17 fouls, Minnesota United 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsSporting Kansas City 2 cards, Minnesota United 3 cards
  • Passes301 passes586 passesSporting Kansas City 301 passes, Minnesota United 586 passes
  • Pass accuracy78.7%86.2%Sporting Kansas City 78.7%, Minnesota United 86.2%
  • Shots inside box7 shots12 shotsSporting Kansas City 7 shots, Minnesota United 12 shots
  • Blocked shots0 blocks2 blocksSporting Kansas City 0 blocks, Minnesota United 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves9 saves5 savesSporting Kansas City 9 saves, Minnesota United 5 saves

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Morris Duggan · Minnesota United · 15′ · 0.02 xG · on targetOr Blorian · Sporting Kansas City · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCalvin Harris · Sporting Kansas City · 77′ · 0.02 xG · on targetManu García · Sporting Kansas City · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLasse Berg Johnsen · Sporting Kansas City · 58′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJoaquín Pereyra · Minnesota United · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMorris Duggan · Minnesota United · 82′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAnthony Markanich · Minnesota United · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTomás Chancalay · Minnesota United · 37′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDejan Joveljić · Sporting Kansas City · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKelvin Yeboah · Minnesota United · 8′ · 0.06 xG · on targetStephen Afrifa · Sporting Kansas City · 85′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoaquín Pereyra · Minnesota United · 2′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKelvin Yeboah · Minnesota United · 15′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCalvin Harris · Sporting Kansas City · 51′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Markanich · Minnesota United · 83′ · 0.07 xG · on targetManu García · Sporting Kansas City · 54′ · 0.08 xG · goalStephen Afrifa · Sporting Kansas City · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetWil Trapp · Minnesota United · 35′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedTomás Chancalay · Minnesota United · 69′ · 0.09 xG · on targetManu García · Sporting Kansas City · 4′ · 0.10 xG · on targetKelvin Yeboah · Minnesota United · 47′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Dieng · Minnesota United · 90′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMamadou Dieng · Minnesota United · 73′ · 0.14 xG · on targetTomás Chancalay · Minnesota United · 68′ · 0.28 xG · on targetDevin Padelford · Minnesota United · 75′ · 0.55 xG · goalDejan Joveljić · Sporting Kansas City · 28′ · 0.57 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sporting Kansas City: 11 shots, 7 on target, 1.13 xG. Minnesota United: 16 shots, 10 on target, 1.85 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Dejan Joveljić · Sporting Kansas City · 28′Manu García · Sporting Kansas City · 54′Devin Padelford · Minnesota United · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sporting Kansas City 1.13 xG · Minnesota United 1.85 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Sporting Kansas City beat Minnesota United 2–1. Recorded in this match (Sporting Kansas City – Minnesota United): shots 11–16, shots on target 7–10, expected goals 1.16–1.5, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sporting Kansas City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sporting Kansas City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Minnesota United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Minnesota United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.56 shots/match ShotsSporting Kansas City · Minnesota United13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSporting Kansas CityMinnesota UnitedBaseline
Shots9.56 shots/match13.4 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against16.6 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Sporting Kansas City
1Draws
4Minnesota United
Minnesota UnitedSporting Kansas City · Major League Soccer30
Sporting Kansas CityMinnesota United · Major League Soccer33
Sporting Kansas CityMinnesota United · Major League Soccer02
Minnesota UnitedSporting Kansas City · Major League Soccer31
Minnesota UnitedSporting Kansas City · Major League Soccer21

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sporting Kansas City favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Minnesota United in 12 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sporting Kansas City16 matchesMinnesota United16 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored16/16 1.19 goals/match
2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16 1.5 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals13/13 1.48 xG/match
9.56 shots/matchShots16/16 13.4 shots/match
4.13 shots/matchShots on target16/16 4.63 shots/match
44.3%Possession16/16 48%
3.81 corners/matchCorners16/16 5.25 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards4/51.6 cards/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls16/1612.3 fouls/match

Style profile

Style profile

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sporting Kansas City8.3
Minnesota United41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sporting Kansas City7.8
Minnesota United38.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sporting Kansas City10.0
Minnesota United52.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sporting Kansas City25.0
Minnesota United61.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sporting Kansas City41.6
Minnesota United32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sporting Kansas City8.3
Minnesota United63.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sporting Kansas City26.2
Minnesota United57.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/160.2 days
1 matchMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Sporting Kansas City / Minnesota United

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidenceready
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 23 Jul 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

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