This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Charlotte FC and Atlanta United drew 2–2.
- Shots
- 24–12
- Shots on target
- 9–6
- Expected goals
- 3.07–1.6
- Possession
- 51%–49%
This match
Match statistics
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
- off target
- on target
- goal
- penalty
- size = xG
Charlotte FC: 23 shots, 9 on target, 2.81 xG. Atlanta United: 12 shots, 6 on target, 1.60 xG. · 1 unplaced
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Charlotte FC 2.81 xG · Atlanta United 1.60 xG.
Full time
What the match recorded
Charlotte FC and Atlanta United drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Charlotte FC – Atlanta United): shots 24–12, shots on target 9–6, expected goals 3.07–1.6, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Charlotte FC's recent record differs from the season
weakCharlotte FC's last-five shots average is above their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 14 shots/match | 11.5 shots/match | 13 shots/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
Charlotte FC have a visible home split
moderateCharlotte FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: home
| Metric | Home only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 13.7 shots/match | 11.5 shots/match | 13 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Charlotte FC favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Atlanta United in 3 · 2 too close
Window
Season
Style profile
Style profile
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
Schedule context
Rest and recent workload
Charlotte FC / Atlanta United
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Team rankings in Major League Soccer
Make a graphic from this match
Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.
Charlotte FC
New York Red Bulls
New England Revolution
Nashville SC
CF Montréal
Sporting Kansas City
Minnesota United