Major League Soccer · 2026Red Bull Arena
02Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Charlotte FC won 0–2.

Shots
244
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
2.380.62
Possession
65%35%

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots4 shotsNew York Red Bulls 24 shots, Charlotte FC 4 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsNew York Red Bulls 6 shots, Charlotte FC 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.38 xG0.62 xGNew York Red Bulls 2.38 xG, Charlotte FC 0.62 xG
  • Possession65%35%New York Red Bulls 65%, Charlotte FC 35%
  • Corners6 corners1 cornerNew York Red Bulls 6 corners, Charlotte FC 1 corner
  • Fouls14 fouls5 foulsNew York Red Bulls 14 fouls, Charlotte FC 5 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards1 cardNew York Red Bulls 5 cards, Charlotte FC 1 card
  • Passes644 passes351 passesNew York Red Bulls 644 passes, Charlotte FC 351 passes
  • Pass accuracy89.3%77.2%New York Red Bulls 89.3%, Charlotte FC 77.2%
  • Shots inside box20 shots3 shotsNew York Red Bulls 20 shots, Charlotte FC 3 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks0 blocksNew York Red Bulls 7 blocks, Charlotte FC 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save6 savesNew York Red Bulls 1 save, Charlotte FC 6 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideNew York Red Bulls 1 offside, Charlotte FC 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Cade Cowell · New York Red Bulls · 36′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJorge Ruvalcaba · New York Red Bulls · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Sofo · New York Red Bulls · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRonald Donkor · New York Red Bulls · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJorge Ruvalcaba · New York Red Bulls · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCade Cowell · New York Red Bulls · 24′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCade Cowell · New York Red Bulls · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAdri Mehmeti · New York Red Bulls · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndy Rojas · New York Red Bulls · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdri Mehmeti · New York Red Bulls · 31′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJorge Ruvalcaba · New York Red Bulls · 50′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIdan Toklomati · Charlotte FC · 59′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDylan Nealis · New York Red Bulls · 31′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEmil Forsberg · New York Red Bulls · 34′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJorge Ruvalcaba · New York Red Bulls · 36′ · 0.06 xG · on targetEmil Forsberg · New York Red Bulls · 64′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJorge Ruvalcaba · New York Red Bulls · 83′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAshley Westwood · Charlotte FC · 12′ · 0.08 xG · goalEmil Forsberg · New York Red Bulls · 28′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJulian Hall · New York Red Bulls · 37′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Sofo · New York Red Bulls · 87′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedEmil Forsberg · New York Red Bulls · 30′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedPep Biel · Charlotte FC · 7′ · 0.17 xG · goalCade Cowell · New York Red Bulls · 6′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedJulian Hall · New York Red Bulls · 83′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedMorrison Agyemang · Charlotte FC · 90′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedJulian Hall · New York Red Bulls · 49′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedEmil Forsberg · New York Red Bulls · 65′ · 0.65 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

New York Red Bulls: 24 shots, 6 on target, 2.46 xG. Charlotte FC: 4 shots, 3 on target, 0.57 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Pep Biel · Charlotte FC · 7′Ashley Westwood · Charlotte FC · 12′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: New York Red Bulls 2.46 xG · Charlotte FC 0.57 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Charlotte FC beat New York Red Bulls 2–0. Recorded in this match (New York Red Bulls – Charlotte FC): shots 24–4, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 2.38–0.62, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Charlotte FC have a visible away split

moderate

Charlotte FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.29 shots/match ShotsAway only · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.29 shots/match11.1 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for New York Red Bulls, Charlotte FC.

2.96 days Rest daysNew York Red Bulls · Charlotte FC2.93 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNew York Red BullsCharlotte FCBaseline
Rest days2.96 days2.93 days
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2New York Red Bulls
1Draws
2Charlotte FC
Charlotte FCNew York Red Bulls · Major League Soccer61
Charlotte FCNew York Red Bulls · Major League Soccer10
New York Red BullsCharlotte FC · Major League Soccer42
Charlotte FCNew York Red Bulls · Major League Soccer11
New York Red BullsCharlotte FC · Major League Soccer31

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: New York Red Bulls favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Charlotte FC in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

New York Red Bulls17 matchesCharlotte FC17 matches
1.53 goals/matchGoals scored17/17 1.65 goals/match
2.18 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17 1.47 goals/match
1.56 xG/matchExpected goals14/141.54 xG/match
13.9 shots/match Shots17/1711.1 shots/match
5.06 shots/match Shots on target17/174.76 shots/match
53.6% Possession17/1746.5%
6.06 corners/match Corners17/174.53 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards6/72 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls17/179.35 fouls/match

Style profile

Style profile

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

New York Red Bulls75.0
Charlotte FC25.0
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

New York Red Bulls65.0
Charlotte FC43.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

New York Red Bulls20.0
Charlotte FC32.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

New York Red Bulls48.3
Charlotte FC28.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

New York Red Bulls55.9
Charlotte FC12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 68%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

New York Red Bulls91.7
Charlotte FC35.0
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

New York Red Bulls76.3
Charlotte FC28.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

  • Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
2.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.93 days

New York Red Bulls / Charlotte FC

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidenceready
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Jul 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

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