Major League Soccer · 2026Thu, 23 Jul 2026, 00:30 UTCFull timeShell Energy StadiumFull-time recap

Houston Dynamo

WWLWD

1–1Full-time recap

DC United

WDLDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Houston Dynamo	DC United
Shots	20 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	1.2 xG/match▲	0.86 xG/match
Possession	64%	36%
Corners	3 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	15 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: DC United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

DC United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

DC United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1.38 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Houston Dynamo favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · DC United in 2 · 4 too close

1.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 15/161.38 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 15/161.63 goals/match

1.09 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/13▲1.4 xG/match

1.24 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 13/131.46 xG/match

13.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 15/1611.8 shots/match

12.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 15/1613.9 shots/match

4.87 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 15/164.19 shots/match

4.07 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 15/165.25 shots/match

44.4%Possessionseason · 15/1639.5%

4.4 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/164.56 corners/match

4.8 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 15/165.63 corners/match

3 cards/matchCardsseason · 6/5▲2.4 cards/match

10.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1614.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

27%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/1625%

73%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1669%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Houston Dynamo11.7

DC United1.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Houston Dynamo48.3

DC United31.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Houston Dynamo61.1

DC United31.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Houston Dynamo88.3

DC United81.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Houston Dynamo50

DC United67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 66%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Houston Dynamo21.7

DC United40

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Houston Dynamo41.6

DC United47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match

0.96 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.31 xG/match

14 shots/match▲Shots5/512.6 shots/match

5.4 shots/matchShots on target5/55.6 shots/match

48.6%Possession5/537.8%

2.6 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/515.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.8 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.8 goals/match

1.03 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.56 xG/match

13.8 shots/match▲Shots10/1013.1 shots/match

5.3 shots/matchShots on target10/105.2 shots/match

45.5%Possession10/1038.8%

3.2 corners/matchCorners10/104.5 corners/match

—Cards2/2—

10.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

15 / 16 matches

1.33 goals/matchGoals scored15/161.38 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed15/161.63 goals/match

1.09 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲1.4 xG/match

13.5 shots/match▲Shots15/1611.8 shots/match

4.87 shots/match▲Shots on target15/164.19 shots/match

44.4%Possession15/1639.5%

4.4 corners/matchCorners15/164.56 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards6/52.4 cards/match

10.3 fouls/matchFouls15/1614.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 9 matches

1.13 goals/matchGoals scored8/9▲1.22 goals/match

0.88 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/91.11 goals/match

0.89 xG/matchExpected goals6/8▲1.53 xG/match

13.3 shots/match▲Shots8/910.7 shots/match

4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target8/93.33 shots/match

44%Possession8/936.7%

5 corners/matchCorners8/93.67 corners/match

2.6 cards/matchCards5/2—

9.75 fouls/matchFouls8/913.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

59.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/160 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples15 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 23 Jul 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

DC United's recent record differs from the season

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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