Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 00:30 UTCFull timeSoldier FieldFull-time recap

Chicago Fire

LWD

1–2Full-time recap

DC United

WLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Chicago Fire	DC United
Shots	15 shots/match▲	13 shots/match
Shots on target	2 shots/match	4 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.91 xG/match▲	1.59 xG/match
Possession	66%	34%
Corners	4 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	11 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match	1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: DC United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.5 fouls/match▲FoulsChicago Fire · DC United15.8 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Chicago Fire	DC United	Baseline
Fouls	13.5 fouls/match	15.8 fouls/match	11.8 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

DC United show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

DC United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match▲ShotsChicago Fire · DC United10.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Chicago Fire	DC United	Baseline
Shots	11.3 shots/match	10.5 shots/match	12 shots/match
Shots against	10 shots/match	13.3 shots/match	12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Chicago Fire have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.3%▲PossessionChicago Fire · DC United41%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.2 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Chicago Fire	DC United	Baseline
Possession	54.3%	41%	50.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Chicago Fire favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · DC United in 0 · 14 too close

1.25 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 1/1—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 1/1—

11.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/410.5 shots/match

10 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/413.3 shots/match

4.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/42.5 shots/match

3.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/44.75 shots/match

54.3%Possessionseason · 4/441%

5.25 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/44.5 corners/match

4.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/45.25 corners/match

2.67 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/32 cards/match

13.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/415.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

50%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/425%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Chicago Fire70.7

DC United8.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Chicago Fire41.9

DC United13.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Chicago Fire69.5

DC United48.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Chicago Fire15.5

DC United60.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Chicago Fire71.5

DC United73.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 88%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Chicago Fire53.4

DC United27.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Chicago Fire51.7

DC United34.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 4 matches

1.25 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

11.3 shots/match▲Shots4/410.5 shots/match

4.75 shots/match▲Shots on target4/42.5 shots/match

54.3%Possession4/441%

5.25 corners/matchCorners4/44.5 corners/match

2.67 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match

13.5 fouls/matchFouls4/415.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 4 matches

1.25 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

11.3 shots/match▲Shots4/410.5 shots/match

4.75 shots/match▲Shots on target4/42.5 shots/match

54.3%Possession4/441%

5.25 corners/matchCorners4/44.5 corners/match

2.67 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match

13.5 fouls/matchFouls4/415.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 4 matches

1.25 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

11.3 shots/match▲Shots4/410.5 shots/match

4.75 shots/match▲Shots on target4/42.5 shots/match

54.3%Possession4/441%

5.25 corners/matchCorners4/44.5 corners/match

2.67 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match

13.5 fouls/matchFouls4/415.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals1/1—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards1/1—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.12 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4