Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 00:30 UTCFull timeToyota StadiumFull-time recap

FC Dallas

WDL

3–3Full-time recap

San Diego

WWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	FC Dallas	San Diego
Shots	13 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	2.74 xG/match▲	1.99 xG/match
Possession	35%	65%
Corners	3 corners/match	0 corners/match
Fouls	16 fouls/match	12 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match	2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: San Diego's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: San Diego have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

San Diego show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

San Diego's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match▲ShotsFC Dallas · San Diego10 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	FC Dallas	San Diego	Baseline
Shots	12.3 shots/match	10 shots/match	12 shots/match
Shots against	8 shots/match	7.25 shots/match	12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

San Diego have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.5%▲PossessionFC Dallas · San Diego66.5%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 25.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	FC Dallas	San Diego	Baseline
Possession	41.5%	66.5%	50.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

FC Dallas favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · San Diego in 0 · 14 too close

1.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/42.75 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/40.75 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 1/1—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 1/1—

12.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/410 shots/match

8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/47.25 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/45.5 shots/match

3.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/43.5 shots/match

41.5%Possessionseason · 4/466.5%

4.25 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/44.5 corners/match

3.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/42.25 corners/match

2 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/31.67 cards/match

14.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/411.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/475%

50%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/4100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

FC Dallas12.1

San Diego98.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

FC Dallas52.3

San Diego63.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

FC Dallas69

San Diego85.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

FC Dallas84.5

San Diego1.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

FC Dallas66.5

San Diego34.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 88%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

FC Dallas20.7

San Diego27.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

FC Dallas49.1

San Diego40.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 4 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲2.75 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.75 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

12.3 shots/match▲Shots4/410 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲5.5 shots/match

41.5%Possession4/466.5%

4.25 corners/matchCorners4/44.5 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/31.67 cards/match

14.5 fouls/matchFouls4/411.5 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 4 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲2.75 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.75 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

12.3 shots/match▲Shots4/410 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲5.5 shots/match

41.5%Possession4/466.5%

4.25 corners/matchCorners4/44.5 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/31.67 cards/match

14.5 fouls/matchFouls4/411.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 4 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲2.75 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.75 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

12.3 shots/match▲Shots4/410 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲5.5 shots/match

41.5%Possession4/466.5%

4.25 corners/matchCorners4/44.5 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/31.67 cards/match

14.5 fouls/matchFouls4/411.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 2 matches

2 goals/matchGoals scored3/2—

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2—

—Expected goals1/1—

11.7 shots/matchShots3/2—

4.33 shots/matchShots on target3/2—

42.3%Possession3/2—

3.33 corners/matchCorners3/2—

—Cards2/1—

14.7 fouls/matchFouls3/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.96 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4