Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 00:30 UTCFull timeShell Energy StadiumFull-time recap

Houston Dynamo

WL

3–2Full-time recap

Portland Timbers

WLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Houston Dynamo	Portland Timbers
Shots	19 shots/match▲	17 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match	9 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.21 xG/match	2.14 xG/match▲
Possession	49%	51%
Corners	10 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	9 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match▲	4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Houston Dynamo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Houston Dynamo show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Houston Dynamo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/match▲ShotsHouston Dynamo · Portland Timbers12 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Houston Dynamo	Portland Timbers	Baseline
Shots	13.7 shots/match	12 shots/match	12 shots/match
Shots against	13.7 shots/match	18.8 shots/match	12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Houston Dynamo favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Portland Timbers in 0 · 14 too close

1.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/41.5 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/42.75 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 1/1—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 1/1—

13.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/412 shots/match

13.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/418.8 shots/match

4.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/45 shots/match

6 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/47 shots/match

40.3%Possessionseason · 3/446.8%

5.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/45.25 corners/match

6.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/49.25 corners/match

3 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/42.75 cards/match

9.67 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/49.75 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/40%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Houston Dynamo5.2

Portland Timbers39.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Houston Dynamo57.5

Portland Timbers59.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Houston Dynamo26.5

Portland Timbers4.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Houston Dynamo98.3

Portland Timbers63.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Houston Dynamo49.5

Portland Timbers47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Houston Dynamo67.2

Portland Timbers53.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Houston Dynamo45.2

Portland Timbers46.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

3 / 4 matches

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored3/41.5 goals/match

1.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/42.75 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

13.7 shots/match▲Shots3/412 shots/match

4.33 shots/matchShots on target3/4▲5 shots/match

40.3%Possession3/446.8%

5.67 corners/matchCorners3/45.25 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards3/42.75 cards/match

9.67 fouls/matchFouls3/49.75 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

3 / 4 matches

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored3/41.5 goals/match

1.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/42.75 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

13.7 shots/match▲Shots3/412 shots/match

4.33 shots/matchShots on target3/4▲5 shots/match

40.3%Possession3/446.8%

5.67 corners/matchCorners3/45.25 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards3/42.75 cards/match

9.67 fouls/matchFouls3/49.75 fouls/match

Window

Season

3 / 4 matches

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored3/41.5 goals/match

1.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/42.75 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

13.7 shots/match▲Shots3/412 shots/match

4.33 shots/matchShots on target3/4▲5 shots/match

40.3%Possession3/446.8%

5.67 corners/matchCorners3/45.25 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards3/42.75 cards/match

9.67 fouls/matchFouls3/49.75 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 2 matches

1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/2—

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2—

—Expected goals1/1—

13.7 shots/matchShots3/2—

4.33 shots/matchShots on target3/2—

40.3%Possession3/2—

5.67 corners/matchCorners3/2—

3 cards/matchCards3/2—

9.67 fouls/matchFouls3/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.88 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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