Major League Soccer · 2026Providence Park

Portland Timbers 1–4 Vancouver Whitecaps · Major League Soccer

1–4Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Vancouver Whitecaps won 1–4.

Shots
716
Shots on target
28
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vancouver Whitecaps beat Portland Timbers 4–1. Recorded in this match (Portland Timbers – Vancouver Whitecaps): shots 7–16, shots on target 2–8, possession 44%–56%, corners 3–7. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vancouver Whitecaps show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Vancouver Whitecaps's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsPortland Timbers · Vancouver Whitecaps14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPortland TimbersVancouver WhitecapsBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match14.3 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against18.7 shots/match7.33 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Vancouver Whitecaps have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.3%PossessionPortland Timbers · Vancouver Whitecaps● 58.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricPortland TimbersVancouver WhitecapsBaseline
Possession45.3%58.3%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots16 shotsPortland Timbers 7 shots, Vancouver Whitecaps 16 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots8 shotsPortland Timbers 2 shots, Vancouver Whitecaps 8 shots
  • Possession44%56%Portland Timbers 44%, Vancouver Whitecaps 56%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersPortland Timbers 3 corners, Vancouver Whitecaps 7 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsPortland Timbers 10 fouls, Vancouver Whitecaps 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsPortland Timbers 3 cards, Vancouver Whitecaps 3 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Portland Timbers
2Draws
2Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps — Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer1–1
Portland Timbers — Vancouver Whitecaps · Major League Soccer1–4
Vancouver Whitecaps — Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer5–0
Vancouver Whitecaps — Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer1–1
Portland Timbers — Vancouver Whitecaps · Major League Soccer2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Portland Timbers favored in 0 of 9 directional metrics · Vancouver Whitecaps in 0 · 9 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Portland Timbers3 matchesVancouver Whitecaps3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 2.67 goals/match
2.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 0.33 goals/match
10.3 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 14.3 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 5.67 shots/match
45.3%Possession3/3● 58.3%
5 corners/matchCorners3/3● 6.33 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls3/314 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Mar 2026, 07:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

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