PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Geodis Park

Nashville SC 3–1 Minnesota United · Major League Soccer

3–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Nashville SC won 3–1.

Shots
1514
Shots on target
63
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nashville SC beat Minnesota United FC 3–1. Recorded in this match (Nashville SC – Minnesota United FC): shots 15–14, shots on target 6–3, possession 58%–42%, corners 5–2. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Nashville SC have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.3% ●PossessionNashville SC · Minnesota United FC43.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNashville SCMinnesota United FCBaseline
Possession55.3%43.3%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots14 shotsNashville SC 15 shots, Minnesota United 14 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsNashville SC 6 shots, Minnesota United 3 shots
  • Possession58%42%Nashville SC 58%, Minnesota United 42%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersNashville SC 5 corners, Minnesota United 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsNashville SC 11 fouls, Minnesota United 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardNashville SC 1 card, Minnesota United 1 card

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Nashville SC
1Draws
1Minnesota United
Nashville SC — Minnesota United · Major League Soccer1–2
Minnesota United — Nashville SC · Major League Soccer1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nashville SC favored in 0 of 9 directional metrics · Minnesota United in 0 · 9 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nashville SC3 matchesMinnesota United3 matches
2.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/31.33 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
12 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 13.7 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/34 shots/match
55.3% ●Possession3/343.3%
3.67 corners/matchCorners3/3● 5 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards3/31.33 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls3/311.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Mar 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsNashville SCMinnesota United
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headNashville SC — Minnesota United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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