PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026ScottsMiracle-Gro Field

Columbus Crew 0–1 Nashville SC · Major League Soccer

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Nashville SC won 0–1.

Shots
88
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
0.231.1
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nashville SC beat Columbus Crew 1–0. Recorded in this match (Columbus Crew – Nashville SC): shots 8–8, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 0.23–1.1, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nashville SC show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Nashville SC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsColumbus Crew · Nashville SC11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricColumbus CrewNashville SCBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match11 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against8.75 shots/match8.75 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots8 shotsColumbus Crew 8 shots, Nashville SC 8 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsColumbus Crew 2 shots, Nashville SC 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.23 xG1.1 xGColumbus Crew 0.23 xG, Nashville SC 1.1 xG
  • Possession57%43%Columbus Crew 57%, Nashville SC 43%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersColumbus Crew 6 corners, Nashville SC 3 corners
  • Fouls4 fouls12 foulsColumbus Crew 4 fouls, Nashville SC 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card5 cardsColumbus Crew 1 card, Nashville SC 5 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Columbus Crew
2Draws
1Nashville SC
Nashville SC — Columbus Crew · Major League Soccer3–0
Columbus Crew — Nashville SC · Major League Soccer2–2
Columbus Crew — Nashville SC · Major League Soccer2–0
Nashville SC — Columbus Crew · Major League Soccer2–2
Columbus Crew — Nashville SC · Major League Soccer2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Columbus Crew favored in 0 of 9 directional metrics · Nashville SC in 0 · 9 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Columbus Crew4 matchesNashville SC4 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 2 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 0.5 goals/match
11.5 shots/matchShots4/411 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 4.75 shots/match
54.8% ●Possession4/452.3%
6.25 corners/match ●Corners4/43.5 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards3/31.67 cards/match
8.5 fouls/matchFouls4/413.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 02:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsColumbus CrewNashville SC
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headColumbus Crew — Nashville SC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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