Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 22:15 UTCFull timeScottsMiracle-Gro FieldFull-time recap

Columbus Crew

LDD

0–1Full-time recap

Nashville SC

WDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Columbus Crew	Nashville SC
Shots	8 shots/match	8 shots/match
Shots on target	2 shots/match	4 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.23 xG/match	1.1 xG/match▲
Possession	57%	43%
Corners	6 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	4 fouls/match	12 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	5 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Nashville SC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Nashville SC show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Nashville SC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.5 shots/match▲ShotsColumbus Crew · Nashville SC11 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Columbus Crew	Nashville SC	Baseline
Shots	11.5 shots/match	11 shots/match	12 shots/match
Shots against	8.75 shots/match	8.75 shots/match	12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Columbus Crew favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Nashville SC in 0 · 14 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/42 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/40.5 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 1/1—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 1/1—

11.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/411 shots/match

8.75 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/48.75 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/44.75 shots/match

4.25 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/42 shots/match

54.8%Possessionseason · 4/452.3%

6.25 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/43.5 corners/match

4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/43.5 corners/match

1.33 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/31.67 cards/match

8.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/413.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/450%

50%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Columbus Crew74.1

Nashville SC63.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Columbus Crew28.1

Nashville SC54.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Columbus Crew61.5

Nashville SC86.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Columbus Crew19

Nashville SC22.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Columbus Crew7.2

Nashville SC46.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 88%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Columbus Crew75.9

Nashville SC10.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Columbus Crew35.8

Nashville SC38.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 4 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲2 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.5 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

11.5 shots/matchShots4/411 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲4.75 shots/match

54.8%Possession4/452.3%

6.25 corners/matchCorners4/43.5 corners/match

1.33 cards/matchCards3/31.67 cards/match

8.5 fouls/matchFouls4/413.5 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 4 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲2 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.5 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

11.5 shots/matchShots4/411 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲4.75 shots/match

54.8%Possession4/452.3%

6.25 corners/matchCorners4/43.5 corners/match

1.33 cards/matchCards3/31.67 cards/match

8.5 fouls/matchFouls4/413.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 4 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲2 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.5 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

11.5 shots/matchShots4/411 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲4.75 shots/match

54.8%Possession4/452.3%

6.25 corners/matchCorners4/43.5 corners/match

1.33 cards/matchCards3/31.67 cards/match

8.5 fouls/matchFouls4/413.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals1/1—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards1/1—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.86 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 02:15 UTC · analysis-v4