Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeBMO FieldFull-time recap

Toronto FC

LLWD

2–1Full-time recap

Columbus Crew

LDDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Toronto FC	Columbus Crew
Shots	12 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	0.91 xG/match▲	0.68 xG/match
Possession	44%	56%
Corners	10 corners/match	7 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	20 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Toronto FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Toronto FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Toronto FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/match▲ShotsToronto FC · Columbus Crew10.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Toronto FC	Columbus Crew	Baseline
Shots	10.4 shots/match	10.8 shots/match	11.9 shots/match
Shots against	13.2 shots/match	9.4 shots/match	12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6 corners/match▲CornersToronto FC · Columbus Crew6.4 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Toronto FC	Columbus Crew	Baseline
Corners	6 corners/match	6.4 corners/match	5.13 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Columbus Crew have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.8%▲PossessionToronto FC · Columbus Crew55%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.2 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Toronto FC	Columbus Crew	Baseline
Possession	42.8%	55%	50.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Toronto FC favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Columbus Crew in 2 · 8 too close

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 5/51 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/51.6 goals/match

0.85 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/2—

1.13 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/2—

10.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/510.8 shots/match

13.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/5▲9.4 shots/match

5.2 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 5/54 shots/match

4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 5/54.8 shots/match

42.8%Possessionseason · 5/555%

6 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/56.4 corners/match

6.6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/5▲5.2 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 2/31.33 cards/match

11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/510.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/520%

80%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 5/560%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Toronto FC18.3

Columbus Crew78.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Toronto FC39.4

Columbus Crew25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Toronto FC50.5

Columbus Crew55.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Toronto FC51.7

Columbus Crew18.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Toronto FC38.3

Columbus Crew17.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 70%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Toronto FC75

Columbus Crew85

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Toronto FC49.1

Columbus Crew40.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

0.85 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

10.4 shots/matchShots5/510.8 shots/match

5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54 shots/match

42.8%Possession5/555%

6 corners/matchCorners5/56.4 corners/match

—Cards2/31.33 cards/match

11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

0.85 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

10.4 shots/matchShots5/510.8 shots/match

5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54 shots/match

42.8%Possession5/555%

6 corners/matchCorners5/56.4 corners/match

—Cards2/31.33 cards/match

11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

0.85 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

10.4 shots/matchShots5/510.8 shots/match

5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54 shots/match

42.8%Possession5/555%

6 corners/matchCorners5/56.4 corners/match

—Cards2/31.33 cards/match

11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 3 matches

—Goals scored2/31.67 goals/match

—Goals allowed2/32.33 goals/match

—Expected goals2/1—

—Shots2/311 shots/match

—Shots on target2/34.33 shots/match

—Possession2/356%

—Corners2/36.33 corners/match

—Cards0/2—

—Fouls2/313 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.78 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4