Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 20:30 UTCFull timeSubaru ParkFull-time recap

Philadelphia Union

LLLL

1–2Full-time recap

Chicago Fire

LWDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Philadelphia Union	Chicago Fire
Shots	12 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match	4 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.85 xG/match	2.52 xG/match▲
Possession	47%	53%
Corners	6 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	15 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Chicago Fire's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Chicago Fire have a visible away split

weak

Chicago Fire's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	8 shots/match	11.2 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14.2 fouls/match▲FoulsPhiladelphia Union · Chicago Fire13.8 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Philadelphia Union	Chicago Fire	Baseline
Fouls	14.2 fouls/match	13.8 fouls/match	11.6 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Chicago Fire show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Chicago Fire's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/match▲ShotsPhiladelphia Union · Chicago Fire11.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Philadelphia Union	Chicago Fire	Baseline
Shots	13.4 shots/match	11.2 shots/match	12.3 shots/match
Shots against	9.8 shots/match	10.4 shots/match	12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Philadelphia Union favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Chicago Fire in 6 · 5 too close

0.6 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/5▲1 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 2/2—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2—

13.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 5/511.2 shots/match

9.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 5/510.4 shots/match

3.4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/5▲4.6 shots/match

4.2 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/5▲3.6 shots/match

50.6%Possessionseason · 5/554%

6.6 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/54.6 corners/match

2.4 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 5/54.8 corners/match

4 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/32.67 cards/match

14.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/513.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/5▲40%

60%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/5▲80%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Philadelphia Union48.3

Chicago Fire71.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Philadelphia Union30.6

Chicago Fire43.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Philadelphia Union53.3

Chicago Fire69.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Philadelphia Union65

Chicago Fire25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Philadelphia Union85.8

Chicago Fire71.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 80%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Philadelphia Union88.3

Chicago Fire35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Philadelphia Union62.1

Chicago Fire46.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

13.4 shots/match▲Shots5/511.2 shots/match

3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.6 shots/match

50.6%Possession5/554%

6.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match

4 cards/matchCards3/32.67 cards/match

14.2 fouls/matchFouls5/513.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches

0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

13.4 shots/match▲Shots5/511.2 shots/match

3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.6 shots/match

50.6%Possession5/554%

6.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match

4 cards/matchCards3/32.67 cards/match

14.2 fouls/matchFouls5/513.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches

0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

13.4 shots/match▲Shots5/511.2 shots/match

3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.6 shots/match

50.6%Possession5/554%

6.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match

4 cards/matchCards3/32.67 cards/match

14.2 fouls/matchFouls5/513.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches

0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲1 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲1 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

13.7 shots/match▲Shots3/38 shots/match

3.67 shots/match▲Shots on target3/33.33 shots/match

48%Possession3/353.3%

7.33 corners/matchCorners3/33.33 corners/match

—Cards2/2—

14.3 fouls/matchFouls3/315 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.05 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.83 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4