Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer · 2026Philadelphia Union 1–2 Chicago Fire · Major League Soccer
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Chicago Fire won 1–2.
- Shots
- 12–11
- Shots on target
- 3–4
- Expected goals
- 0.85–2.52
- Possession
- 47%–53%
Full time
What the match recorded
Chicago Fire beat Philadelphia Union 2–1. Recorded in this match (Philadelphia Union – Chicago Fire): shots 12–11, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.85–2.52, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Chicago Fire have a visible away split
weakChicago Fire's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: away
| Metric | Away only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 8 shots/match | 11.2 shots/match | 12.3 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
Both teams have elevated fouls records
moderateEach team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.
Window: season
| Metric | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls | 14.2 fouls/match | 13.8 fouls/match | 11.6 fouls/match |
Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.
Chicago Fire show a distinct attacking-volume record
moderateChicago Fire's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 13.4 shots/match | 11.2 shots/match | 12.3 shots/match |
| Shots against | 9.8 shots/match | 10.4 shots/match | 12.5 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
This match
Match statistics
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Philadelphia Union favored in 3 of 9 directional metrics · Chicago Fire in 6
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 2 matches
Philadelphia Union / Chicago Fire
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
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