Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 23:30 UTCFull timeMercedes-Benz StadiumFull-time recap

Atlanta United FC

LLLW

0–0Full-time recap

DC United

WLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Atlanta United FC	DC United
Shots	7 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	0.26 xG/match▲	0.16 xG/match
Possession	71%	29%
Corners	3 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	10 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match	1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: DC United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

DC United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

DC United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10 shots/match▲ShotsAtlanta United FC · DC United9.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Atlanta United FC	DC United	Baseline
Shots	10 shots/match	9.2 shots/match	12.3 shots/match
Shots against	10 shots/match	12 shots/match	12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14.2 fouls/match▲FoulsAtlanta United FC · DC United14.6 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Atlanta United FC	DC United	Baseline
Fouls	14.2 fouls/match	14.6 fouls/match	11.9 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Atlanta United FC have recorded the higher season possession share.

55%▲PossessionAtlanta United FC · DC United38.6%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.4 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Atlanta United FC	DC United	Baseline
Possession	55%	38.6%	49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Atlanta United FC favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · DC United in 3 · 6 too close

1 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 5/50.8 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/5▲0.8 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 2/2—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2—

10 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 5/59.2 shots/match

10 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 5/512 shots/match

3.2 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 5/52.2 shots/match

3.2 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 5/54.4 shots/match

55%Possessionseason · 5/538.6%

3.4 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/54.4 corners/match

4.8 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/54.8 corners/match

2.33 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/32 cards/match

14.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/514.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/5▲40%

40%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/5▲60%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Atlanta United FC80

DC United1.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Atlanta United FC18.4

DC United7.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Atlanta United FC64.4

DC United61.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Atlanta United FC15

DC United35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Atlanta United FC72

DC United68.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 80%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Atlanta United FC6.7

DC United25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Atlanta United FC27.1

DC United30.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

10 shots/match▲Shots5/59.2 shots/match

3.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.2 shots/match

55%Possession5/538.6%

3.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match

2.33 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match

14.2 fouls/matchFouls5/514.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

10 shots/match▲Shots5/59.2 shots/match

3.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.2 shots/match

55%Possession5/538.6%

3.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match

2.33 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match

14.2 fouls/matchFouls5/514.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

10 shots/match▲Shots5/59.2 shots/match

3.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.2 shots/match

55%Possession5/538.6%

3.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match

2.33 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match

14.2 fouls/matchFouls5/514.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored3/30.67 goals/match

1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲0.67 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

11.3 shots/match▲Shots3/38 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target3/32.33 shots/match

58.3%Possession3/336%

3.67 corners/matchCorners3/34.33 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls3/312.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.18 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.96 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4