Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 00:30 UTCFull timeToyota StadiumFull-time recap
43Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFC DallasHouston Dynamo
Shots16 shots/match10 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals1.36 xG/match1.74 xG/match
Possession55%45%
Corners6 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match14 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Houston Dynamo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Houston Dynamo show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Houston Dynamo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13 shots/matchShotsFC Dallas · Houston Dynamo12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC DallasHouston DynamoBaseline
Shots13 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against8.4 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

FC Dallas favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Houston Dynamo in 0 · 14 too close

2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/42 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/42.25 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 2/2
Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2
13 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/412.8 shots/match
8.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/414.3 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/44.25 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/46 shots/match
44.2%Possessionseason · 5/441.5%
4.6 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/46.25 corners/match
4.4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/46.25 corners/match
2 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/43.5 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/410.8 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/40%
60%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

FC Dallas18.3
Houston Dynamo8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

FC Dallas67.2
Houston Dynamo57.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

FC Dallas63.3
Houston Dynamo20.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

FC Dallas91.7
Houston Dynamo95
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

FC Dallas70
Houston Dynamo58.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 90%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

FC Dallas33.3
Houston Dynamo81.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

FC Dallas61.6
Houston Dynamo49.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 4 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/42 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/42.25 goals/match
Expected goals2/2
13 shots/matchShots5/412.8 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/44.25 shots/match
44.2%Possession5/441.5%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/46.25 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards4/43.5 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls5/410.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 4 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/42 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/42.25 goals/match
Expected goals2/2
13 shots/matchShots5/412.8 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/44.25 shots/match
44.2%Possession5/441.5%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/46.25 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards4/43.5 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls5/410.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 4 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/42 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/42.25 goals/match
Expected goals2/2
13 shots/matchShots5/412.8 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/44.25 shots/match
44.2%Possession5/441.5%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/46.25 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards4/43.5 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls5/410.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 1 matches
2.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/1
2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/1
Expected goals2/1
12.8 shots/matchShots4/1
4.75 shots/matchShots on target4/1
45.5%Possession4/1
4 corners/matchCorners4/1
2 cards/matchCards3/1
15 fouls/matchFouls4/1

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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