Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 00:30 UTCFull timeCITYPARKFull-time recap

St. Louis City

DLLL

3–1Full-time recap

New England Revolution

LLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	St. Louis City	New England Revolution
Shots	11 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.12 xG/match	1.21 xG/match▲
Possession	49%	51%
Corners	6 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	12 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match	2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: New England Revolution's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: New England Revolution's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

New England Revolution have a visible away split

weak

New England Revolution's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

5.67 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	5.67 shots/match	8 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

New England Revolution show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

New England Revolution's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match▲ShotsSt. Louis City · New England Revolution8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	St. Louis City	New England Revolution	Baseline
Shots	13.6 shots/match	8 shots/match	12.3 shots/match
Shots against	9.8 shots/match	13 shots/match	12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

St. Louis City favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · New England Revolution in 0 · 14 too close

0.8 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/42 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/42.25 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 2/2—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2—

13.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/48 shots/match

9.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/413 shots/match

5.4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/43.5 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/46.75 shots/match

50.4%Possessionseason · 5/446.8%

6.2 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/43 corners/match

3.4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/44.5 corners/match

1.33 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/32.67 cards/match

11.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/414.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/40%

40%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

St. Louis City55

New England Revolution36.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

St. Louis City55.5

New England Revolution33.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

St. Louis City64.4

New England Revolution24.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

St. Louis City71.7

New England Revolution8.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

St. Louis City25.1

New England Revolution78

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 80%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

St. Louis City78.3

New England Revolution1.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

St. Louis City68.7

New England Revolution26.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 4 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/4▲2 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/42.25 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

13.6 shots/match▲Shots5/48 shots/match

5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/43.5 shots/match

50.4%Possession5/446.8%

6.2 corners/matchCorners5/43 corners/match

1.33 cards/matchCards3/32.67 cards/match

11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/414.3 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 4 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/4▲2 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/42.25 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

13.6 shots/match▲Shots5/48 shots/match

5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/43.5 shots/match

50.4%Possession5/446.8%

6.2 corners/matchCorners5/43 corners/match

1.33 cards/matchCards3/32.67 cards/match

11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/414.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 4 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/4▲2 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/42.25 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

13.6 shots/match▲Shots5/48 shots/match

5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/43.5 shots/match

50.4%Possession5/446.8%

6.2 corners/matchCorners5/43 corners/match

1.33 cards/matchCards3/32.67 cards/match

11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/414.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches

1.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/30.67 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/32.67 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

15 shots/match▲Shots3/35.67 shots/match

7.33 shots/match▲Shots on target3/32 shots/match

54%Possession3/343.7%

6.67 corners/matchCorners3/33.67 corners/match

—Cards2/2—

12 fouls/matchFouls3/314 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.92 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.25 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4