St.Louis City 3–1 New England Revolution · Major League Soccer
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
St.Louis City won 3–1.
- Shots
- 11–8
- Shots on target
- 6–2
- Expected goals
- 1.12–1.21
- Possession
- 49%–51%
Full time
What the match recorded
St. Louis City beat New England Revolution 3–1. Recorded in this match (St. Louis City – New England Revolution): shots 11–8, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.12–1.21, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
New England Revolution have a visible away split
weakNew England Revolution's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: away
| Metric | Away only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 5.67 shots/match | 8 shots/match | 12.3 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
New England Revolution show a distinct attacking-volume record
weakNew England Revolution's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | St. Louis City | New England Revolution | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 13.6 shots/match | 8 shots/match | 12.3 shots/match |
| Shots against | 9.8 shots/match | 13 shots/match | 12.5 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
This match
Match statistics
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: St.Louis City favored in 0 of 9 directional metrics · New England Revolution in 0 · 9 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
St.Louis City / New England Revolution
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Team rankings in Major League Soccer
Make a graphic from this match
Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.
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