Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 18:30 UTCFull timeGillette StadiumFull-time recap

New England Revolution

6–1Full-time recap

FC Cincinnati

WLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	New England Revolution	FC Cincinnati
Shots	15 shots/match	15 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match	9 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.49 xG/match▲	1.09 xG/match
Possession	56%	44%
Corners	1 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	14 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match	2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: New England Revolution's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

New England Revolution show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

New England Revolution's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8 shots/match▲ShotsNew England Revolution · FC Cincinnati12.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	New England Revolution	FC Cincinnati	Baseline
Shots	8 shots/match	12.8 shots/match	11.9 shots/match
Shots against	13.7 shots/match	12.5 shots/match	12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

New England Revolution favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · FC Cincinnati in 0 · 14 too close

2.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/40.75 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/42 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 1/2—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 1/2—

8 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/412.8 shots/match

13.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/412.5 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/44.5 shots/match

7 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/45.25 shots/match

45.3%Possessionseason · 3/452.5%

3 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/46.75 corners/match

4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/43.75 corners/match

2.67 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/31.33 cards/match

15 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/411 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/425%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/450%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

New England Revolution31.7

FC Cincinnati71.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

New England Revolution38.3

FC Cincinnati38.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

New England Revolution17.8

FC Cincinnati33.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

New England Revolution8.3

FC Cincinnati48.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

New England Revolution77.9

FC Cincinnati21

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 88%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

New England Revolution5

FC Cincinnati90

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

New England Revolution28.4

FC Cincinnati57.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

3 / 4 matches

2.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/40.75 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed3/42 goals/match

—Expected goals1/2—

8 shots/matchShots3/4▲12.8 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target3/4▲4.5 shots/match

45.3%Possession3/452.5%

3 corners/matchCorners3/46.75 corners/match

2.67 cards/matchCards3/31.33 cards/match

15 fouls/matchFouls3/411 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

3 / 4 matches

2.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/40.75 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed3/42 goals/match

—Expected goals1/2—

8 shots/matchShots3/4▲12.8 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target3/4▲4.5 shots/match

45.3%Possession3/452.5%

3 corners/matchCorners3/46.75 corners/match

2.67 cards/matchCards3/31.33 cards/match

15 fouls/matchFouls3/411 fouls/match

Window

Season

3 / 4 matches

2.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/40.75 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed3/42 goals/match

—Expected goals1/2—

8 shots/matchShots3/4▲12.8 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target3/4▲4.5 shots/match

45.3%Possession3/452.5%

3 corners/matchCorners3/46.75 corners/match

2.67 cards/matchCards3/31.33 cards/match

15 fouls/matchFouls3/411 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

1 / 2 matches

—Goals scored1/2—

—Goals allowed1/2—

—Expected goals1/1—

—Shots1/2—

—Shots on target1/2—

—Possession1/2—

—Corners1/2—

—Cards1/2—

—Fouls1/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.81 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4