Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 23:00 UTCFull timePayPal ParkFull-time recap
01Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSan Jose EarthquakesSeattle Sounders
Shots25 shots/match6 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals1.67 xG/match0.51 xG/match
Possession63%37%
Corners17 corners/match0 corners/match
Fouls6 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: San Jose Earthquakes's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: San Jose Earthquakes's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

San Jose Earthquakes show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

San Jose Earthquakes's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15 shots/matchShotsSan Jose Earthquakes · Seattle Sounders10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSan Jose EarthquakesSeattle SoundersBaseline
Shots15 shots/match10.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against8.5 shots/match15.3 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

San Jose Earthquakes have a visible home split

weak

San Jose Earthquakes's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.7 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.7 shots/match15 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

San Jose Earthquakes favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Seattle Sounders in 0 · 14 too close

1.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41.25 goals/match
0.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/40.5 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 1/1
Expected goals allowedseason · 1/1
15 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/410.8 shots/match
8.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/415.3 shots/match
5.25 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/45 shots/match
2.25 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/45 shots/match
50.8%Possessionseason · 4/445%
10 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/44.75 corners/match
4.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/48.5 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/32 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/48.75 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
75%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/475%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/4100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

San Jose Earthquakes48.3
Seattle Sounders30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

San Jose Earthquakes76.7
Seattle Sounders45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

San Jose Earthquakes91.1
Seattle Sounders46.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

San Jose Earthquakes88.3
Seattle Sounders45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

San Jose Earthquakes28.5
Seattle Sounders28.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 88%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

San Jose Earthquakes98.3
Seattle Sounders38.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

San Jose Earthquakes78.3
Seattle Sounders33.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 4 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/41.25 goals/match
0.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/40.5 goals/match
Expected goals1/1
15 shots/matchShots4/410.8 shots/match
5.25 shots/matchShots on target4/45 shots/match
50.8%Possession4/445%
10 corners/matchCorners4/44.75 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls4/48.75 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 4 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/41.25 goals/match
0.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/40.5 goals/match
Expected goals1/1
15 shots/matchShots4/410.8 shots/match
5.25 shots/matchShots on target4/45 shots/match
50.8%Possession4/445%
10 corners/matchCorners4/44.75 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls4/48.75 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 4 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/41.25 goals/match
0.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/40.5 goals/match
Expected goals1/1
15 shots/matchShots4/410.8 shots/match
5.25 shots/matchShots on target4/45 shots/match
50.8%Possession4/445%
10 corners/matchCorners4/44.75 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls4/48.75 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/31 goals/match
0.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30.67 goals/match
Expected goals1/1
17.7 shots/matchShots3/39.33 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target3/35 shots/match
51%Possession3/345.7%
13 corners/matchCorners3/33.67 corners/match
Cards2/2
10.3 fouls/matchFouls3/38.33 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.94 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.9 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 16 Mar 2026, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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