Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 02:30 UTCFull timeBMO StadiumFull-time recap

Los Angeles FC

WWW

2–0Full-time recap

St. Louis City

DLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Los Angeles FC	St. Louis City
Shots	15 shots/match	18 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	0.66 xG/match	1.4 xG/match▲
Possession	45%	55%
Corners	5 corners/match	9 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: St. Louis City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

St. Louis City show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

St. Louis City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14 shots/match▲ShotsLos Angeles FC · St. Louis City14.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Los Angeles FC	St. Louis City	Baseline
Shots	14 shots/match	14.3 shots/match	12 shots/match
Shots against	14 shots/match	10.3 shots/match	12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Los Angeles FC favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · St. Louis City in 0 · 14 too close

2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/40.25 goals/match

0 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41.5 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 1/1—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 1/1—

14 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/414.3 shots/match

14 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/410.3 shots/match

5.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/45.25 shots/match

3.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/44.5 shots/match

52.3%Possessionseason · 4/450.8%

5.25 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/46.25 corners/match

5.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/43.5 corners/match

2 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/31.33 cards/match

13.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/411.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

100%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/40%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/425%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Los Angeles FC65.5

St. Louis City48.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Los Angeles FC83.9

St. Louis City54

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Los Angeles FC62.7

St. Louis City52.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Los Angeles FC77.6

St. Louis City81

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Los Angeles FC57.8

St. Louis City25.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 88%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Los Angeles FC53.4

St. Louis City74.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Los Angeles FC71.1

St. Louis City69

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 4 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored4/40.25 goals/match

0 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.5 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

14 shots/matchShots4/414.3 shots/match

5.5 shots/matchShots on target4/45.25 shots/match

52.3%Possession4/450.8%

5.25 corners/matchCorners4/46.25 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/31.33 cards/match

13.3 fouls/matchFouls4/411.5 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 4 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored4/40.25 goals/match

0 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.5 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

14 shots/matchShots4/414.3 shots/match

5.5 shots/matchShots on target4/45.25 shots/match

52.3%Possession4/450.8%

5.25 corners/matchCorners4/46.25 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/31.33 cards/match

13.3 fouls/matchFouls4/411.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 4 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored4/40.25 goals/match

0 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.5 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

14 shots/matchShots4/414.3 shots/match

5.5 shots/matchShots on target4/45.25 shots/match

52.3%Possession4/450.8%

5.25 corners/matchCorners4/46.25 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/31.33 cards/match

13.3 fouls/matchFouls4/411.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 2 matches

2 goals/matchGoals scored3/2—

0 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2—

—Expected goals1/1—

12.7 shots/matchShots3/2—

5.33 shots/matchShots on target3/2—

46%Possession3/2—

4.33 corners/matchCorners3/2—

—Cards2/1—

13 fouls/matchFouls3/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.04 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 06:30 UTC · analysis-v4