Major League Soccer · 2026America First Field

Real Salt Lake 2–1 Austin FC · Major League Soccer

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Real Salt Lake won 2–1.

Shots
2310
Shots on target
83
Expected goals
1.720.58
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Salt Lake beat Austin 2–1. Recorded in this match (Real Salt Lake – Austin): shots 23–10, shots on target 8–3, expected goals 1.72–0.58, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Salt Lake show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Real Salt Lake's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Salt Lake · Austin10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal Salt LakeAustinBaseline
Shots15 shots/match10.8 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match16.5 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots10 shotsReal Salt Lake 23 shots, Austin FC 10 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots3 shotsReal Salt Lake 8 shots, Austin FC 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.72 xG0.58 xGReal Salt Lake 1.72 xG, Austin FC 0.58 xG
  • Possession60%40%Real Salt Lake 60%, Austin FC 40%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersReal Salt Lake 7 corners, Austin FC 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsReal Salt Lake 12 fouls, Austin FC 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsReal Salt Lake 1 card, Austin FC 4 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Real Salt Lake
2Draws
0Austin FC
Real Salt Lake — Austin FC · Major League Soccer3–1
Austin FC — Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer1–1
Austin FC — Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer2–2
Real Salt Lake — Austin FC · Major League Soccer5–1
Austin FC — Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Salt Lake favored in 0 of 9 directional metrics · Austin FC in 0 · 9 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Salt Lake4 matchesAustin FC4 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/41.25 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/41.75 goals/match
15 shots/match ▲Shots4/410.8 shots/match
4.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/44.5 shots/match
44.5%Possession4/4● 44.8%
4.75 corners/matchCorners4/4● 6.25 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls4/411 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

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