Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 01:30 UTCFull timeAmerica First FieldFull-time recap

Real Salt Lake

LWW

2–1Full-time recap

Austin

DWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Real Salt Lake	Austin
Shots	23 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.72 xG/match▲	0.58 xG/match
Possession	60%	40%
Corners	7 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	10 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Salt Lake's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Real Salt Lake show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Real Salt Lake's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15 shots/match▲ShotsReal Salt Lake · Austin10.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Real Salt Lake	Austin	Baseline
Shots	15 shots/match	10.8 shots/match	12 shots/match
Shots against	13.3 shots/match	16.5 shots/match	12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Real Salt Lake favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Austin in 0 · 14 too close

1.75 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41.25 goals/match

1.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41.75 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 1/1—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 1/1—

15 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/410.8 shots/match

13.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/416.5 shots/match

4.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/44.5 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/46.25 shots/match

44.5%Possessionseason · 4/444.8%

4.75 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/46.25 corners/match

6.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/48 corners/match

3 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/32 cards/match

10 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/411 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/425%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/4100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Salt Lake25.9

Austin29.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Salt Lake74.7

Austin32.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Salt Lake43.1

Austin14.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Salt Lake94.8

Austin46.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Salt Lake53.9

Austin43.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 88%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Salt Lake34.5

Austin74.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Salt Lake50.9

Austin41.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 4 matches

1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41.25 goals/match

1.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.75 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

15 shots/match▲Shots4/410.8 shots/match

4.75 shots/match▲Shots on target4/44.5 shots/match

44.5%Possession4/444.8%

4.75 corners/matchCorners4/46.25 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match

10 fouls/matchFouls4/411 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 4 matches

1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41.25 goals/match

1.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.75 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

15 shots/match▲Shots4/410.8 shots/match

4.75 shots/match▲Shots on target4/44.5 shots/match

44.5%Possession4/444.8%

4.75 corners/matchCorners4/46.25 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match

10 fouls/matchFouls4/411 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 4 matches

1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41.25 goals/match

1.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.75 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

15 shots/match▲Shots4/410.8 shots/match

4.75 shots/match▲Shots on target4/44.5 shots/match

44.5%Possession4/444.8%

4.75 corners/matchCorners4/46.25 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match

10 fouls/matchFouls4/411 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals1/1—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards1/1—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.04 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4