Vancouver Whitecaps
Major League Soccer · 2026Vancouver Whitecaps 0–1 San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
San Jose Earthquakes won 0–1.
- Shots
- 12–6
- Shots on target
- 6–3
- Expected goals
- 0.98–0.66
- Possession
- 61%–39%
Full time
What the match recorded
San Jose Earthquakes beat Vancouver Whitecaps 1–0. Recorded in this match (Vancouver Whitecaps – San Jose Earthquakes): shots 12–6, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 0.98–0.66, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
San Jose Earthquakes show a distinct attacking-volume record
moderateSan Jose Earthquakes's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Vancouver Whitecaps | San Jose Earthquakes | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 14.2 shots/match | 13.2 shots/match | 12.3 shots/match |
| Shots against | 7.2 shots/match | 9.2 shots/match | 12.5 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
The teams have contrasting possession records
moderateVancouver Whitecaps have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.8 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Vancouver Whitecaps | San Jose Earthquakes | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 57.2% | 48.4% | 49.5% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
This match
Match statistics
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Vancouver Whitecaps favored in 5 of 9 directional metrics · San Jose Earthquakes in 2 · 2 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
Vancouver Whitecaps / San Jose Earthquakes
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
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