Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 00:45 UTCFull timeQ2 StadiumFull-time recap

Austin

DWLL
00Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAustinLos Angeles FC
Shots10 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals0.98 xG/match1.11 xG/match
Possession62%38%
Corners5 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match7 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Austin's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Los Angeles FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Austin have a visible home split

weak

Austin's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.7 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Los Angeles FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Los Angeles FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.6 shots/matchShotsAustin · Los Angeles FC13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAustinLos Angeles FCBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against15.4 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Austin favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Los Angeles FC in 8 · 6 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/51.6 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/50 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 2/2
Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2
10.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/513.4 shots/match
15.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/513.2 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/54.6 shots/match
5.2 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/53.2 shots/match
48.2%Possessionseason · 5/549.4%
6 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/55 corners/match
7.2 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/55.6 corners/match
2 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/32 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/512 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
40%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/5100%
80%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/580%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Austin41.7
Los Angeles FC48.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Austin25
Los Angeles FC61.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Austin35
Los Angeles FC72.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Austin31.7
Los Angeles FC75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Austin40.9
Los Angeles FC51.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 80%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Austin73.3
Los Angeles FC55
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Austin37.9
Los Angeles FC56.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50 goals/match
Expected goals2/2
10.6 shots/matchShots5/513.4 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/54.6 shots/match
48.2%Possession5/549.4%
6 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50 goals/match
Expected goals2/2
10.6 shots/matchShots5/513.4 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/54.6 shots/match
48.2%Possession5/549.4%
6 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50 goals/match
Expected goals2/2
10.6 shots/matchShots5/513.4 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/54.6 shots/match
48.2%Possession5/549.4%
6 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 2 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored3/2
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2
Expected goals1/1
12.7 shots/matchShots3/2
5.33 shots/matchShots on target3/2
58%Possession3/2
7.67 corners/matchCorners3/2
Cards2/1
11 fouls/matchFouls3/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.97 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.93 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 04:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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