Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 23:30 UTCFull timeBank of America StadiumFull-time recap

Charlotte

DLWD

6–1Full-time recap

New York Red Bulls

WWLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Charlotte	New York Red Bulls
Shots	15 shots/match	23 shots/match▲
Shots on target	10 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Expected goals	2.55 xG/match	2.61 xG/match▲
Possession	45%	55%
Corners	2 corners/match	8 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	7 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match	1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Charlotte's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: New York Red Bulls's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Charlotte have a visible home split

weak

Charlotte's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.7 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season12.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	16.7 shots/match	12.4 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

New York Red Bulls show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

New York Red Bulls's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match▲ShotsCharlotte · New York Red Bulls17.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Charlotte	New York Red Bulls	Baseline
Shots	12.4 shots/match	17.4 shots/match	12.3 shots/match
Shots against	14.8 shots/match	11.8 shots/match	12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

New York Red Bulls have recorded the higher season possession share.

49.6%▲PossessionCharlotte · New York Red Bulls61.4%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.8 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Charlotte	New York Red Bulls	Baseline
Possession	49.6%	61.4%	49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Charlotte favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · New York Red Bulls in 6 · 6 too close

2 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 5/51 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 5/52.2 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 2/2—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2—

12.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/5▲17.4 shots/match

14.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/5▲11.8 shots/match

6 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/5▲7.4 shots/match

6.8 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/5▲6 shots/match

49.6%Possessionseason · 5/561.4%

4.8 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/59 corners/match

5.2 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/5▲4.4 corners/match

2.25 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/41.75 cards/match

10.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/511.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/520%

60%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/5▲80%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Charlotte51.7

New York Red Bulls91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Charlotte72.8

New York Red Bulls73.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Charlotte32.8

New York Red Bulls35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Charlotte58.3

New York Red Bulls85

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Charlotte42.8

New York Red Bulls38.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 90%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Charlotte48.3

New York Red Bulls96.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Charlotte52.1

New York Red Bulls82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

12.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲17.4 shots/match

6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲7.4 shots/match

49.6%Possession5/561.4%

4.8 corners/matchCorners5/59 corners/match

2.25 cards/matchCards4/41.75 cards/match

10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

12.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲17.4 shots/match

6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲7.4 shots/match

49.6%Possession5/561.4%

4.8 corners/matchCorners5/59 corners/match

2.25 cards/matchCards4/41.75 cards/match

10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

12.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲17.4 shots/match

6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲7.4 shots/match

49.6%Possession5/561.4%

4.8 corners/matchCorners5/59 corners/match

2.25 cards/matchCards4/41.75 cards/match

10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches

3 goals/match▲Goals scored3/31.33 goals/match

0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/32.67 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

16.7 shots/matchShots3/3▲21 shots/match

8.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲9.67 shots/match

54.3%Possession3/358.3%

6 corners/matchCorners3/39.33 corners/match

—Cards2/2—

9.33 fouls/matchFouls3/311.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.27 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4