Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 23:30 UTCFull timeBank of America StadiumFull-time recap

Charlotte

DLW

0–0Full-time recap

Inter Miami

LWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Charlotte	Inter Miami
Shots	10 shots/match	10 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	0.97 xG/match	0.99 xG/match▲
Possession	45%	55%
Corners	3 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	14 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match	2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Inter Miami have recorded the higher season possession share. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Inter Miami have recorded the higher season possession share.

50.8%▲PossessionCharlotte · Inter Miami62%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.2 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Charlotte	Inter Miami	Baseline
Possession	50.8%	62%	50.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Charlotte favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Inter Miami in 0 · 14 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41.5 goals/match

1.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41.5 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 1/1—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 1/1—

11.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/411.3 shots/match

12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/412.5 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/44.75 shots/match

6.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/44.75 shots/match

50.8%Possessionseason · 4/462%

5.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/44.25 corners/match

4.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/44.25 corners/match

2.67 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/32 cards/match

10.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/412.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/425%

50%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/450%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Charlotte48.3

Inter Miami91.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Charlotte44.8

Inter Miami48.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Charlotte37.4

Inter Miami44.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Charlotte39.7

Inter Miami8.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Charlotte51.7

Inter Miami56.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 88%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Charlotte62.1

Inter Miami20.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Charlotte50.9

Inter Miami41.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 4 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1.5 goals/match

1.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.5 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

11.8 shots/matchShots4/411.3 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target4/44.75 shots/match

50.8%Possession4/462%

5.5 corners/matchCorners4/44.25 corners/match

2.67 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match

10.8 fouls/matchFouls4/412.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 4 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1.5 goals/match

1.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.5 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

11.8 shots/matchShots4/411.3 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target4/44.75 shots/match

50.8%Possession4/462%

5.5 corners/matchCorners4/44.25 corners/match

2.67 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match

10.8 fouls/matchFouls4/412.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 4 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1.5 goals/match

1.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.5 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

11.8 shots/matchShots4/411.3 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target4/44.75 shots/match

50.8%Possession4/462%

5.5 corners/matchCorners4/44.25 corners/match

2.67 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match

10.8 fouls/matchFouls4/412.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 4 matches

—Goals scored2/41.5 goals/match

—Goals allowed2/41.5 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

—Shots2/411.3 shots/match

—Shots on target2/44.75 shots/match

—Possession2/462%

—Corners2/44.25 corners/match

—Cards1/32 cards/match

—Fouls2/412.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.08 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4