Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 23:30 UTCFull timeYankee StadiumFull-time recap

New York City FC

DWW

3–1Full-time recap

Colorado Rapids

LWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	New York City FC	Colorado Rapids
Shots	13 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.76 xG/match▲	0.95 xG/match
Possession	41%	59%
Corners	4 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	22 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

15 fouls/match▲FoulsNew York City FC · Colorado Rapids15.3 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	New York City FC	Colorado Rapids	Baseline
Fouls	15 fouls/match	15.3 fouls/match	11.8 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

New York City FC favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Colorado Rapids in 0 · 14 too close

2.75 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41.75 goals/match

0.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41.5 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 1/1—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 1/1—

12.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/412.8 shots/match

9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/413.8 shots/match

5.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/45.25 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/45.75 shots/match

57.3%Possessionseason · 4/455.8%

3.75 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/45.5 corners/match

3 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/45.75 corners/match

1.67 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/32 cards/match

15 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/415.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/425%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

New York City FC84.5

Colorado Rapids81

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

New York City FC82.2

Colorado Rapids71.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

New York City FC78.8

Colorado Rapids30.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

New York City FC29.3

Colorado Rapids36.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

New York City FC57

Colorado Rapids71.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 88%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

New York City FC15.5

Colorado Rapids62.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

New York City FC62.9

Colorado Rapids73.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 4 matches

2.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41.75 goals/match

0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.5 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

12.3 shots/matchShots4/412.8 shots/match

5.75 shots/match▲Shots on target4/45.25 shots/match

57.3%Possession4/455.8%

3.75 corners/matchCorners4/45.5 corners/match

1.67 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match

15 fouls/matchFouls4/415.3 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 4 matches

2.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41.75 goals/match

0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.5 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

12.3 shots/matchShots4/412.8 shots/match

5.75 shots/match▲Shots on target4/45.25 shots/match

57.3%Possession4/455.8%

3.75 corners/matchCorners4/45.5 corners/match

1.67 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match

15 fouls/matchFouls4/415.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 4 matches

2.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41.75 goals/match

0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.5 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

12.3 shots/matchShots4/412.8 shots/match

5.75 shots/match▲Shots on target4/45.25 shots/match

57.3%Possession4/455.8%

3.75 corners/matchCorners4/45.5 corners/match

1.67 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match

15 fouls/matchFouls4/415.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals1/1—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards1/1—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.17 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.88 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4