Major League Soccer · 2026Geodis Park

Nashville SC 5–0 Orlando City SC · Major League Soccer

5–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Nashville SC won 5–0.

Shots
209
Shots on target
81
Expected goals
3.230.56
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nashville SC beat Orlando City SC 5–0. Recorded in this match (Nashville SC – Orlando City SC): shots 20–9, shots on target 8–1, expected goals 3.23–0.56, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nashville SC have a visible home split

weak

Nashville SC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Orlando City SC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Orlando City SC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsNashville SC · Orlando City SC11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNashville SCOrlando City SCBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match11 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against8.8 shots/match16.8 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Nashville SC have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.2% ●PossessionNashville SC · Orlando City SC38.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNashville SCOrlando City SCBaseline
Possession53.2%38.8%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots9 shotsNashville SC 20 shots, Orlando City SC 9 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots1 shotNashville SC 8 shots, Orlando City SC 1 shot
  • Expected goals3.23 xG0.56 xGNashville SC 3.23 xG, Orlando City SC 0.56 xG
  • Possession57%43%Nashville SC 57%, Orlando City SC 43%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersNashville SC 5 corners, Orlando City SC 5 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls5 foulsNashville SC 15 fouls, Orlando City SC 5 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsNashville SC 1 card, Orlando City SC 2 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Nashville SC
0Draws
4Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC — Nashville SC · Major League Soccer3–2
Nashville SC — Orlando City SC · Major League Soccer5–1
Orlando City SC — Nashville SC · Major League Soccer3–0
Nashville SC — Orlando City SC · Major League Soccer0–3
Nashville SC — Orlando City SC · Major League Soccer0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nashville SC favored in 9 of 9 directional metrics · Orlando City SC in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nashville SC5 matchesOrlando City SC5 matches
2.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51 goal/match
0.4 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/53.4 goals/match
12.8 shots/match ▲Shots5/511 shots/match
5.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match
53.2% ●Possession5/538.8%
3.8 corners/match ●Corners5/53.4 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards3/33 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 02:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

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