Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 22:15 UTCFull timeGeodis ParkFull-time recap

Nashville SC

WDWW

5–0Full-time recap

Orlando City SC

LLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Nashville SC	Orlando City SC
Shots	20 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	3.23 xG/match▲	0.56 xG/match
Possession	57%	43%
Corners	5 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	5 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Nashville SC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Orlando City SC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Nashville SC have a visible home split

weak

Nashville SC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season12.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	16.3 shots/match	12.8 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Orlando City SC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Orlando City SC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match▲ShotsNashville SC · Orlando City SC11 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Nashville SC	Orlando City SC	Baseline
Shots	12.8 shots/match	11 shots/match	12.3 shots/match
Shots against	8.8 shots/match	16.8 shots/match	12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Nashville SC have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.2%▲PossessionNashville SC · Orlando City SC38.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.4 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Nashville SC	Orlando City SC	Baseline
Possession	53.2%	38.8%	50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Nashville SC favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Orlando City SC in 0 · 5 too close

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 5/51 goals/match

0.4 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 5/53.4 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 2/2—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2—

12.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 5/511 shots/match

8.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 5/516.8 shots/match

5.4 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 5/53.8 shots/match

1.8 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 5/57.6 shots/match

53.2%Possessionseason · 5/538.8%

3.8 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/53.4 corners/match

3.8 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 5/57.4 corners/match

1.67 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/33 cards/match

13.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/59.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

60%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/50%

80%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 5/560%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Nashville SC68.3

Orlando City SC5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Nashville SC75.5

Orlando City SC28.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Nashville SC89.4

Orlando City SC2.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Nashville SC41.7

Orlando City SC85

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Nashville SC47.2

Orlando City SC47.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 80%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Nashville SC18.3

Orlando City SC6.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Nashville SC55.8

Orlando City SC18.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

0.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/53.4 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

12.8 shots/match▲Shots5/511 shots/match

5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match

53.2%Possession5/538.8%

3.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match

1.67 cards/matchCards3/33 cards/match

13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

0.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/53.4 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

12.8 shots/match▲Shots5/511 shots/match

5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match

53.2%Possession5/538.8%

3.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match

1.67 cards/matchCards3/33 cards/match

13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

0.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/53.4 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

12.8 shots/match▲Shots5/511 shots/match

5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match

53.2%Possession5/538.8%

3.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match

1.67 cards/matchCards3/33 cards/match

13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 2 matches

4 goals/matchGoals scored3/2—

0.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2—

—Expected goals1/1—

16.3 shots/matchShots3/2—

7.33 shots/matchShots on target3/2—

56.7%Possession3/2—

4.33 corners/matchCorners3/2—

—Cards2/1—

14 fouls/matchFouls3/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.95 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 02:15 UTC · analysis-v4