Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 8 Mar 2026, 00:30 UTCFull timeScottsMiracle-Gro FieldFull-time recap
00Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricColumbus CrewChicago Fire
Shots13 shots/match7 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match3 shots/match
Possession50%50%
Corners7 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Chicago Fire's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Chicago Fire show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Chicago Fire's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/matchShotsColumbus Crew · Chicago Fire10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricColumbus CrewChicago FireBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match10 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against9 shots/match9 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Columbus Crew favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Chicago Fire in 0 · 14 too close

1.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/31.33 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/30.67 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
12.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/310 shots/match
9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/39 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/35.67 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/33.67 shots/match
54%Possessionseason · 3/350.3%
6.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/35.67 corners/match
4.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/34.33 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/32.67 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/314 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/367%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Columbus Crew66.7
Chicago Fire56.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Columbus Crew52.8
Chicago Fire44.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Columbus Crew51.4
Chicago Fire73.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Columbus Crew43.8
Chicago Fire22.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Columbus Crew14.6
Chicago Fire77.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Columbus Crew79.2
Chicago Fire60.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Columbus Crew53.2
Chicago Fire56.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

3 / 3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.33 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30.67 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
12.7 shots/matchShots3/310 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target3/35.67 shots/match
54%Possession3/350.3%
6.33 corners/matchCorners3/35.67 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards3/32.67 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls3/314 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

3 / 3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.33 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30.67 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
12.7 shots/matchShots3/310 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target3/35.67 shots/match
54%Possession3/350.3%
6.33 corners/matchCorners3/35.67 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards3/32.67 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls3/314 fouls/match

Window

Season

3 / 3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.33 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30.67 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
12.7 shots/matchShots3/310 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target3/35.67 shots/match
54%Possession3/350.3%
6.33 corners/matchCorners3/35.67 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards3/32.67 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls3/314 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

1 / 2 matches
Goals scored1/2
Goals allowed1/2
Expected goals0/0
Shots1/2
Shots on target1/2
Possession1/2
Corners1/2
Cards1/2
Fouls1/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.21 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Mar 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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