PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 8 Mar 2026, 00:30 UTCFull timeBank of America StadiumFull-time recap
3–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCharlotteAustin
Shots25 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Shots on target11 shots/match▲0 shots/match
Possession73%27%
Corners13 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Charlotte's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.33 corners/match▲CornersCharlotte · Austin7 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricCharlotteAustinBaseline
Corners6.33 corners/match7 corners/match5.17 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Charlotte show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Charlotte's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match▲ShotsCharlotte · Austin11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCharlotteAustinBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match11 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against13.7 shots/match14.3 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Charlotte favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Austin in 0 · 14 too close

1.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/31.33 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31.67 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
12.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/311 shots/match
13.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/314.3 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/35 shots/match
7.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/35.67 shots/match
52.7%Possessionseason · 3/346.3%
6.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/37 corners/match
4.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/38.33 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/32 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/311.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Charlotte60.4
Austin31.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Charlotte53.5
Austin41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Charlotte21.5
Austin20.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Charlotte39.6
Austin47.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Charlotte54.2
Austin43.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Charlotte79.2
Austin91.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Charlotte56.3
Austin52.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

3 / 3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.33 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.3 shots/match▲Shots3/311 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target3/35 shots/match
52.7%Possession3/346.3%
6.33 corners/matchCorners3/37 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls3/311.3 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

3 / 3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.33 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.3 shots/match▲Shots3/311 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target3/35 shots/match
52.7%Possession3/346.3%
6.33 corners/matchCorners3/37 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls3/311.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

3 / 3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.33 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.3 shots/match▲Shots3/311 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target3/35 shots/match
52.7%Possession3/346.3%
6.33 corners/matchCorners3/37 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls3/311.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

1 / 1 matches
—Goals scored1/1—
—Goals allowed1/1—
—Expected goals0/0—
—Shots1/1—
—Shots on target1/1—
—Possession1/1—
—Corners1/1—
—Cards1/1—
—Fouls1/1—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.21 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Mar 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsCharlotteAustin
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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