Season Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Goals scored 1.64 – 1.88
Expected goals 1.61 – 1.8
Shots 12.2 – 14.3
Possession 50.2% – 52.1% Story Comparison H2H Evidence More football 30-second read
What the record shows The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 2 to New England Revolution, 2 drawn, 1 to Chicago Fire. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.
Metric comparison
Team comparison Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Where the edge is Season: New England Revolution favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Chicago Fire in 10 · 2 too close
▲ recorded edge● higher value (descriptive) too close
Season Last 10 Last 5 Home–Away Style profile Rest and recent workload
New England Revolution 25 matches Chicago Fire 24 matches
1.64 goals/match Goals scored25/24 ▲ 1.88 goals/match
1.24 goals/match ▲ Goals allowed25/24 1.46 goals/match
1.61 xG/match Expected goals23/20 ▲ 1.8 xG/match
12.2 shots/match Shots25/23 ▲ 14.3 shots/match
4.68 shots/match Shots on target25/23 ▲ 5.35 shots/match
50.2% Possession25/23 ● 52.1%
4.24 corners/match Corners25/23 ● 4.57 corners/match
2.6 cards/match Cards5/4 2.25 cards/match
9.84 fouls/match Fouls25/23 12.6 fouls/match
New England Revolution 10 matches Chicago Fire 10 matches
1.9 goals/match ▲ Goals scored10/10 1.8 goals/match
1.3 goals/match ▲ Goals allowed10/10 1.9 goals/match
2.16 xG/match ▲ Expected goals10/9 1.53 xG/match
15.3 shots/match ▲ Shots10/9 13.7 shots/match
6 shots/match ▲ Shots on target10/9 5.56 shots/match
50.2% Possession10/9 ● 50.4%
4.8 corners/match ● Corners10/9 4.56 corners/match
7.9 fouls/match Fouls10/9 12.3 fouls/match
New England Revolution 5 matches Chicago Fire 5 matches
1.8 goals/match Goals scored5/5 1.8 goals/match
1.2 goals/match ▲ Goals allowed5/5 2 goals/match
1.97 xG/match ▲ Expected goals5/5 1.48 xG/match
14 shots/match Shots5/5 ▲ 15.4 shots/match
6.4 shots/match Shots on target5/5 6.4 shots/match
3.6 corners/match Corners5/5 ● 5.4 corners/match
8.6 fouls/match Fouls5/5 11.2 fouls/match
New England Revolution 12 matches Chicago Fire 12 matches
1.83 goals/match Goals scored12/12 1.92 goals/match
0.92 goals/match ▲ Goals allowed12/12 1.75 goals/match
1.3 xG/match Expected goals12/9 ▲ 1.74 xG/match
10.8 shots/match Shots12/11 ▲ 12.5 shots/match
4.33 shots/match Shots on target12/11 ▲ 5.36 shots/match
51.8% Possession12/11 ● 52%
4.92 corners/match ● Corners12/11 3.64 corners/match
9.92 fouls/match Fouls12/11 12.4 fouls/match
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
New England Revolution 51.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96% Attacking volume Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
New England Revolution 46.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97% Defensive resistance Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
New England Revolution 53.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97% Directness proxy Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
New England Revolution 25.0
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96% Physicality Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
New England Revolution 28.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 56% Set-piece relevance Corner volume relative to competition peers.
New England Revolution 15.0
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96% Tempo and pressure proxy Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
New England Revolution 26.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96% Rest before fixture · Both teams: 34.1 days Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches New England Revolution / Chicago Fire
History
Head-to-head Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
2 New England Revolution
2 Draws
1 Chicago Fire
13 Sept 2026 Chicago Fire — New England Revolution · Major League Soccer 1–2
18 Oct 2025 New England Revolution — Chicago Fire · Major League Soccer 2–2
7 Sept 2025 Chicago Fire — New England Revolution · Major League Soccer 3–2
5 May 2024 Chicago Fire — New England Revolution · Major League Soccer 0–1
23 Mar 2024 New England Revolution — Chicago Fire · Major League Soccer 1–1
Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis Grade B · Useful evidence Useful evidence — limited
Season samples 25 / 24 home / away teams
Recent samples 5 / 5 last-five windows
Freshness 34 days stale at cutoff
At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff. Known unknowns Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset. The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff. Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4 Team rankings in Major League Soccer