PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Orlando City SC vs DC United · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.761.25
Expected goals
1.561.41
Shots
11.912
Possession
48.6%38.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: DC United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: orlando City SC have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

DC United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

DC United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Orlando City SC have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.6% ●PossessionOrlando City SC · DC United38.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricOrlando City SCDC UnitedBaseline
Possession48.6%38.6%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Orlando City SC favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · DC United in 6 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Orlando City SC25 matchesDC United24 matches
1.76 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/241.25 goals/match
2.24 goals/matchGoals allowed25/24▲ 1.54 goals/match
1.56 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/211.41 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots24/2412 shots/match
4.92 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/244.21 shots/match
48.6% ●Possession24/2438.6%
4 corners/matchCorners24/24● 4.88 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards4/62.67 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls24/2413.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Orlando City SC
1Draws
1DC United
DC United — Orlando City SC · Major League Soccer3–2
DC United — Orlando City SC · Major League Soccer1–1
Orlando City SC — DC United · Major League Soccer4–1
Orlando City SC — DC United · Major League Soccer5–0
DC United — Orlando City SC · Major League Soccer2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOrlando City SCDC United
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headOrlando City SC — DC United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required