PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Atlanta United vs Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.162.44
Expected goals
1.422.13
Shots
1315.4
Possession
51.2%57%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: atlanta United's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Atlanta United's recent record differs from the season

weak

Atlanta United's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match13 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlanta United favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Inter Miami CF in 8 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlanta United25 matchesInter Miami CF25 matches
1.16 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 2.44 goals/match
1.72 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.84 goals/match
1.42 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲ 2.13 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 15.4 shots/match
3.88 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 6.08 shots/match
51.2%Possession25/25● 57%
5.08 corners/matchCorners25/25● 5.48 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards6/53 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls25/2512.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Atlanta United
1Draws
2Inter Miami CF
Inter Miami CF — Atlanta United · Major League Soccer2–2
Inter Miami CF — Atlanta United · Major League Soccer4–0
Atlanta United — Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer1–2
Inter Miami CF — Atlanta United · Major League Soccer2–3
Atlanta United — Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlanta UnitedInter Miami CF
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headAtlanta United — Inter Miami CF
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required