PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

LA Galaxy vs Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.191.88
Expected goals
1.391.49
Shots
12.713.2
Possession
48.9%50.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: LA Galaxy's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

LA Galaxy show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

LA Galaxy's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsLA Galaxy · Portland Timbers13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLA GalaxyPortland TimbersBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against14.1 shots/match16.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: LA Galaxy favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Portland Timbers in 2 · 5 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

LA Galaxy26 matchesPortland Timbers25 matches
1.19 goals/matchGoals scored26/25▲ 1.88 goals/match
1.54 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/251.88 goals/match
1.39 xG/matchExpected goals23/22▲ 1.49 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots26/2513.2 shots/match
5.15 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/254.48 shots/match
48.9%Possession26/25● 50.8%
5.19 corners/match ●Corners26/254.68 corners/match
2.89 cards/matchCards9/83 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls26/259.84 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1LA Galaxy
2Draws
2Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers — LA Galaxy · Major League Soccer1–1
LA Galaxy — Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer2–4
Portland Timbers — LA Galaxy · Major League Soccer1–1
Portland Timbers — LA Galaxy · Major League Soccer4–2
LA Galaxy — Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness32 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 15 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLA GalaxyPortland Timbers
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headLA Galaxy — Portland Timbers
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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