PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.541.76
Expected goals
1.541.67
Shots
14.213.3
Possession
49.6%48.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: real Salt Lake's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: san Jose Earthquakes's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Real Salt Lake's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Salt Lake's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.54 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.54 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

San Jose Earthquakes have a visible away split

moderate

San Jose Earthquakes's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Salt Lake favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · San Jose Earthquakes in 6 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Salt Lake24 matchesSan Jose Earthquakes25 matches
1.54 goals/matchGoals scored24/25▲ 1.76 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed24/25▲ 1.44 goals/match
1.54 xG/matchExpected goals21/22▲ 1.67 xG/match
14.2 shots/match ▲Shots24/2513.3 shots/match
5.42 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/254.92 shots/match
49.6% ●Possession24/2548.4%
4.88 corners/matchCorners24/25● 6.12 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/73 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls24/2512.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Real Salt Lake
0Draws
3San Jose Earthquakes
Real Salt Lake — San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer2–1
San Jose Earthquakes — Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer4–0
San Jose Earthquakes — Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer0–1
Real Salt Lake — San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer0–2
San Jose Earthquakes — Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness32 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 15 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal Salt LakeSan Jose Earthquakes
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headReal Salt Lake — San Jose Earthquakes
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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