Major League Soccer · 2026

Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.321.48
Expected goals
1.341.64
Shots
1213.4
Possession
55.1%46.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: colorado Rapids's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. The next-strongest reading is weaker: minnesota United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Minnesota United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Minnesota United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.48 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3 goals/match1.48 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Colorado Rapids have a visible home split

strong

Colorado Rapids's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match12 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Colorado Rapids have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.1% ●PossessionColorado Rapids · Minnesota United46.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricColorado RapidsMinnesota UnitedBaseline
Possession55.1%46.2%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Colorado Rapids favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Minnesota United in 6

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Colorado Rapids25 matchesMinnesota United25 matches
1.32 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 1.48 goals/match
1.28 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.72 goals/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲ 1.64 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 13.4 shots/match
4.04 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 4.84 shots/match
55.1% ●Possession25/2546.2%
4.92 corners/matchCorners25/25● 5.36 corners/match
3.4 cards/matchCards10/62 cards/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls25/2512.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Colorado Rapids
2Draws
1Minnesota United
Minnesota United — Colorado Rapids · Major League Soccer0–1
Colorado Rapids — Minnesota United · Major League Soccer1–1
Minnesota United — Colorado Rapids · Major League Soccer1–2
Minnesota United — Colorado Rapids · Major League Soccer3–0
Colorado Rapids — Minnesota United · Major League Soccer3–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness32 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 15 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

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