Major League Soccer · 2026

Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.081.54
Expected goals
0.991.54
Shots
10.514.2
Possession
44.4%49.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: sporting Kansas City's last-five shots average is above their season average. Alongside it: real Salt Lake's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Sporting Kansas City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sporting Kansas City's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16 shots/match10.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Salt Lake have a visible away split

moderate

Real Salt Lake's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match14.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Salt Lake show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Salt Lake's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.5 shots/match ▲ShotsSporting Kansas City · Real Salt Lake14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSporting Kansas CityReal Salt LakeBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match14.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against16 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sporting Kansas City favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Real Salt Lake in 11 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sporting Kansas City24 matchesReal Salt Lake24 matches
1.08 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲ 1.54 goals/match
2.46 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 1.63 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.54 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots24/24▲ 14.2 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target24/24▲ 5.42 shots/match
44.4%Possession24/24● 49.6%
3.96 corners/matchCorners24/24● 4.88 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards6/52.6 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls24/2412.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Sporting Kansas City
1Draws
4Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake — Sporting Kansas City · Major League Soccer3–1
Real Salt Lake — Sporting Kansas City · Major League Soccer2–1
Sporting Kansas City — Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer1–1
Sporting Kansas City — Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer3–4
Real Salt Lake — Sporting Kansas City · Major League Soccer1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

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