PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.281.96
Expected goals
1.11.49
Shots
13.111.9
Possession
47.9%41.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: houston Dynamo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Houston Dynamo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Houston Dynamo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.28 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.28 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Houston Dynamo favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · FC Dallas in 3 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Houston Dynamo25 matchesFC Dallas25 matches
1.28 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 1.96 goals/match
1.12 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.68 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals23/22▲ 1.49 xG/match
13.1 shots/match ▲Shots25/2511.9 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target25/254.76 shots/match
47.9% ●Possession25/2541.8%
4.2 corners/matchCorners25/25● 4.36 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards10/62.17 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls25/2513.5 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Houston Dynamo
1Draws
3FC Dallas
FC Dallas — Houston Dynamo · Major League Soccer4–3
FC Dallas — Houston Dynamo · Major League Soccer0–2
Houston Dynamo — FC Dallas · Major League Soccer1–2
Houston Dynamo — FC Dallas · Major League Soccer1–1
FC Dallas — Houston Dynamo · Major League Soccer2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHouston DynamoFC Dallas
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headHouston Dynamo — FC Dallas
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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