Major League Soccer · 2026

Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.041.19
Expected goals
1.411.03
Shots
12.410.9
Possession
54%44.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: sporting Kansas City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: sporting Kansas City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Sporting Kansas City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sporting Kansas City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.19 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.19 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sporting Kansas City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sporting Kansas City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsNashville SC · Sporting Kansas City10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNashville SCSporting Kansas CityBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match10.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against10.9 shots/match16.1 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Nashville SC have recorded the higher season possession share.

54% ●PossessionNashville SC · Sporting Kansas City44.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNashville SCSporting Kansas CityBaseline
Possession54%44.5%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nashville SC favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Sporting Kansas City in 0 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nashville SC27 matchesSporting Kansas City27 matches
2.04 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.19 goals/match
0.78 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/272.41 goals/match
1.41 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/241.03 xG/match
12.4 shots/match ▲Shots27/2710.9 shots/match
4.93 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/274.33 shots/match
54% ●Possession27/2744.5%
5.3 corners/match ●Corners27/273.93 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/72.57 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls27/2712.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Nashville SC
0Draws
1Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City — Nashville SC · Major League Soccer0–3
Nashville SC — Sporting Kansas City · Major League Soccer1–2
Sporting Kansas City — Nashville SC · Major League Soccer1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness18 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 15 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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