PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Los Angeles FC vs Austin FC · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.581.28
Expected goals
1.310.97
Shots
14.610.4
Possession
47.2%48.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: los Angeles FC's last-five shots average is above their season average. Alongside it: los Angeles FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Los Angeles FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Los Angeles FC's last-five shots average is above their season average.

21.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots21.2 shots/match14.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Los Angeles FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Los Angeles FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLos Angeles FC · Austin FC10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLos Angeles FCAustin FCBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against12.9 shots/match16.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Los Angeles FC favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Austin FC in 0 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Los Angeles FC26 matchesAustin FC25 matches
1.58 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/251.28 goals/match
1.04 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/251.76 goals/match
1.31 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/220.97 xG/match
14.6 shots/match ▲Shots26/2510.4 shots/match
4.85 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/253.96 shots/match
47.2%Possession26/25● 48.6%
6.46 corners/match ●Corners26/254.44 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards5/52.8 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls26/2510.9 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Los Angeles FC
1Draws
2Austin FC
Austin FC — Los Angeles FC · Major League Soccer0–0
Austin FC — Los Angeles FC · Major League Soccer1–4
Los Angeles FC — Austin FC · Major League Soccer2–1
Austin FC — Los Angeles FC · Major League Soccer1–0
Los Angeles FC — Austin FC · Major League Soccer0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness32 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 15 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLos Angeles FCAustin FC
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headLos Angeles FC — Austin FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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