PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.161.81
Expected goals
0.991.5
Shots
10.513.5
Possession
44.4%50.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: sporting Kansas City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: portland Timbers's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Sporting Kansas City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sporting Kansas City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.16 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.16 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Portland Timbers show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Portland Timbers's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.5 shots/match ▲ShotsSporting Kansas City · Portland Timbers13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSporting Kansas CityPortland TimbersBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against15.8 shots/match15.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sporting Kansas City favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Portland Timbers in 9 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sporting Kansas City25 matchesPortland Timbers26 matches
1.16 goals/matchGoals scored25/26▲ 1.81 goals/match
2.52 goals/matchGoals allowed25/26▲ 1.85 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals22/23▲ 1.5 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots25/26▲ 13.5 shots/match
4.08 shots/matchShots on target25/26▲ 4.42 shots/match
44.4%Possession25/26● 50.8%
3.92 corners/matchCorners25/26● 4.69 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards6/83 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls25/269.62 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Sporting Kansas City
1Draws
4Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers — Sporting Kansas City · Major League Soccer6–0
Portland Timbers — Sporting Kansas City · Major League Soccer1–0
Sporting Kansas City — Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer2–4
Portland Timbers — Sporting Kansas City · Major League Soccer2–1
Sporting Kansas City — Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer3–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples25 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness21 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSporting Kansas CityPortland Timbers
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headSporting Kansas City — Portland Timbers
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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