Major League Soccer · 2026

Inter Miami CF vs DC United · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.441.25
Expected goals
2.131.41
Shots
15.412
Possession
57%38.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: inter Miami CF have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: DC United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

DC United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

DC United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Inter Miami CF have recorded the higher season possession share.

57% ●PossessionInter Miami CF · DC United38.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricInter Miami CFDC UnitedBaseline
Possession57%38.6%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Inter Miami CF show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Inter Miami CF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.4 shots/match ▲ShotsInter Miami CF · DC United12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInter Miami CFDC UnitedBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match12 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match14.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter Miami CF favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · DC United in 3

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter Miami CF25 matchesDC United24 matches
2.44 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/241.25 goals/match
1.84 goals/matchGoals allowed25/24▲ 1.54 goals/match
2.13 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/211.41 xG/match
15.4 shots/match ▲Shots25/2412 shots/match
6.08 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/244.21 shots/match
57% ●Possession25/2438.6%
5.48 corners/match ●Corners25/244.88 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards5/62.67 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls25/2413.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Inter Miami CF
1Draws
0DC United
DC United — Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer1–2
Inter Miami CF — DC United · Major League Soccer3–2
DC United — Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer1–1
Inter Miami CF — DC United · Major League Soccer1–0
DC United — Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

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