Major League Soccer · 2026

Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.761.4
Expected goals
1.561.11
Shots
11.911.8
Possession
48.6%57.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: orlando City SC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: columbus Crew have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Orlando City SC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Orlando City SC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.76 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.76 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Orlando City SC show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Orlando City SC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.9 shots/match ▲ShotsOrlando City SC · Columbus Crew11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOrlando City SCColumbus CrewBaseline
Shots11.9 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against16.8 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Columbus Crew have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.6%PossessionOrlando City SC · Columbus Crew● 57.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricOrlando City SCColumbus CrewBaseline
Possession48.6%57.4%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Orlando City SC favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Columbus Crew in 5 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Orlando City SC25 matchesColumbus Crew25 matches
1.76 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.4 goals/match
2.24 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 1.68 goals/match
1.56 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/221.11 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots24/2511.8 shots/match
4.92 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/253.88 shots/match
48.6%Possession24/25● 57.4%
4 corners/matchCorners24/25● 5.08 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards4/51.2 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls24/259.92 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Orlando City SC
2Draws
2Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew — Orlando City SC · Major League Soccer1–1
Orlando City SC — Columbus Crew · Major League Soccer1–1
Columbus Crew — Orlando City SC · Major League Soccer1–3
Columbus Crew — Orlando City SC · Major League Soccer4–3
Orlando City SC — Columbus Crew · Major League Soccer0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required