PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Nashville SC 3–0 Chicago Fire · Major League Soccer

3–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Nashville SC won 3–0.

Shots
139
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
2.070.98
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nashville SC beat Chicago Fire 3–0. Recorded in this match (Nashville SC – Chicago Fire): shots 13–9, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 2.07–0.98, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nashville SC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Nashville SC's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match12 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots9 shotsNashville SC 13 shots, Chicago Fire 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotNashville SC 5 shots, Chicago Fire 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.07 xG0.98 xGNashville SC 2.07 xG, Chicago Fire 0.98 xG
  • Possession56%44%Nashville SC 56%, Chicago Fire 44%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersNashville SC 5 corners, Chicago Fire 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls9 foulsNashville SC 12 fouls, Chicago Fire 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardNashville SC 1 card, Chicago Fire 1 card
  • Passes514 passes415 passesNashville SC 514 passes, Chicago Fire 415 passes
  • Pass accuracy88.9%84.6%Nashville SC 88.9%, Chicago Fire 84.6%
  • Shots inside box9 shots7 shotsNashville SC 9 shots, Chicago Fire 7 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks3 blocksNashville SC 2 blocks, Chicago Fire 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves3 savesNashville SC 0 saves, Chicago Fire 3 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides2 offsidesNashville SC 4 offsides, Chicago Fire 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 33′Sam SurridgeGoal · Nashville SC
  2. 36′Hany MukhtarYellow card · Nashville SC
  3. Half-time
  4. 57′Jack ElliottYellow card · Chicago Fire
  5. 78′Cristian EspinozaGoal · Nashville SC
  6. 87′Hany MukhtarGoal · Nashville SC
  7. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 68′Nashville SC · 1 player changeShakur Mohammed
  • 68′Chicago Fire · 2 player changesPuso Dithejane · Jonathan Bamba
  • 75′Chicago Fire · 1 player changeAnzor Mekvabishvili
  • 79′Chicago Fire · 2 player changesJohan Gomez · Mauricio Pineda
  • 83′Nashville SC · 2 player changesDaniel Lovitz · Edvard Tagseth
  • 90′Nashville SC · 2 player changesAlex Muyl · Josh Bauer

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Nashville SC4-3-3
  1. Brian SchwakeG
  2. Maxwell WoledziD
  3. Jeisson PalaciosD
  4. Reed Baker-WhitingD
  5. Andy NajarD
  6. Patrick YazbekM
  7. Matthew CorcoranM
  8. Alex MuylM
  9. Cristian EspinozaF
  10. Sam SurridgeF
  11. Hany MukhtarF
Chicago Fire4-3-3
  1. Chris BradyG
  2. Jack ElliottD
  3. Samuel RogersD
  4. Jonathan DeanD
  5. Noah AllenD
  6. Sergio OregelM
  7. Dje Tah D'AvillaM
  8. Johan GomezM
  9. Robert LewandowskiF
  10. Philip ZinckernagelF
  11. Puso DithejaneF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Nashville SC
0Draws
1Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire — Nashville SC · Major League Soccer1–0
Chicago Fire — Nashville SC · Major League Soccer0–2
Nashville SC — Chicago Fire · Major League Soccer7–2
Chicago Fire — Nashville SC · Major League Soccer0–3
Nashville SC — Chicago Fire · Major League Soccer1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nashville SC favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Chicago Fire in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nashville SC26 matchesChicago Fire25 matches
2.04 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/251.8 goals/match
0.81 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/251.52 goals/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goals23/21▲ 1.76 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots26/24▲ 14.1 shots/match
4.69 shots/matchShots on target26/24▲ 5.17 shots/match
53.7% ●Possession26/2451.8%
5.15 corners/match ●Corners26/244.46 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/42.25 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls26/2412.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples26 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNashville SCChicago Fire
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headNashville SC — Chicago Fire
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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