Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 21:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Chicago Fire

LWWWL

vsPre-match analysis

New England Revolution

LWLDL

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: New England Revolution's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Chicago Fire's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

New England Revolution's recent record differs from the season

moderate

New England Revolution's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.4 goals/match	1.38 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Chicago Fire have a visible home split

moderate

Chicago Fire's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.4 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season14.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	17.4 shots/match	14.8 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Chicago Fire favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · New England Revolution in 1 · 4 too close

1.93 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 15/161.38 goals/match

1.27 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 15/161.25 goals/match

2.01 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 12/141.13 xG/match

1.4 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 12/141.37 xG/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 15/1610.1 shots/match

12.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 15/1613.1 shots/match

5.13 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 15/163.69 shots/match

4.53 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 15/165.38 shots/match

52.7%●Possessionseason · 15/1650.1%

4.53 corners/match●Cornersseason · 15/164.19 corners/match

5.87 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 15/16▲5.5 corners/match

2.25 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/43 cards/match

13 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1611.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

40%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/1625%

93%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1669%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Chicago Fire70

New England Revolution51.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Chicago Fire79.4

New England Revolution13.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Chicago Fire62.8

New England Revolution48.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Chicago Fire68.3

New England Revolution15

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Chicago Fire55

New England Revolution55.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Chicago Fire35

New England Revolution11.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Chicago Fire66.7

New England Revolution12.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Chicago Fire15 matchesNew England Revolution16 matches

1.93 goals/match▲Goals scored15/161.38 goals/match

1.27 goals/matchGoals allowed15/161.25 goals/match

2.01 xG/match▲Expected goals12/141.13 xG/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shots15/1610.1 shots/match

5.13 shots/match▲Shots on target15/163.69 shots/match

52.7%●Possession15/1650.1%

4.53 corners/match●Corners15/164.19 corners/match

2.25 cards/matchCards4/43 cards/match

13 fouls/matchFouls15/1611.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Chicago Fire8 matchesNew England Revolution6 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored8/60.83 goals/match

1.13 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/61.83 goals/match

2.07 xG/match▲Expected goals7/41.15 xG/match

17.4 shots/match▲Shots8/68.83 shots/match

5.63 shots/match▲Shots on target8/63.33 shots/match

54.8%●Possession8/646.2%

5.25 corners/match●Corners8/63 corners/match

—Cards2/33 cards/match

12.6 fouls/matchFouls8/611.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

52.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/136 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples15 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness53 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4