Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 22:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps

DWLWL

vsPre-match analysis

Austin FC

DLLLW

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Vancouver Whitecaps's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Austin FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Vancouver Whitecaps show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Vancouver Whitecaps's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.5 shots/match▲ShotsVancouver Whitecaps · Austin FC10.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Vancouver Whitecaps	Austin FC	Baseline
Shots	17.5 shots/match	10.2 shots/match	13 shots/match
Shots against	8.33 shots/match	17.6 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Austin FC have a visible away split

moderate

Austin FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.5 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	8.5 shots/match	10.2 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Vancouver Whitecaps favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Austin FC in 0 · 2 too close

2.47 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 15/161.38 goals/match

1.07 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 15/162 goals/match

2.4 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 12/130.95 xG/match

0.97 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 12/132.14 xG/match

17.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 15/1610.2 shots/match

8.33 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 15/1617.6 shots/match

6.8 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 15/164 shots/match

3 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 15/166.88 shots/match

54.9%●Possessionseason · 15/1647.4%

5.33 corners/match●Cornersseason · 15/164.31 corners/match

3.27 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 15/166.31 corners/match

2.8 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/32 cards/match

15.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1611 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/1625%

87%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1681%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Vancouver Whitecaps81.7

Austin FC35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Vancouver Whitecaps95

Austin FC15.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Vancouver Whitecaps96.1

Austin FC8.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Vancouver Whitecaps95

Austin FC21.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Vancouver Whitecaps81.7

Austin FC25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 59%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Vancouver Whitecaps70

Austin FC16.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Vancouver Whitecaps90.4

Austin FC13.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Vancouver Whitecaps15 matchesAustin FC16 matches

2.47 goals/match▲Goals scored15/161.38 goals/match

1.07 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/162 goals/match

2.4 xG/match▲Expected goals12/130.95 xG/match

17.5 shots/match▲Shots15/1610.2 shots/match

6.8 shots/match▲Shots on target15/164 shots/match

54.9%●Possession15/1647.4%

5.33 corners/match●Corners15/164.31 corners/match

2.8 cards/matchCards5/32 cards/match

15.4 fouls/matchFouls15/1611 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Vancouver Whitecaps8 matchesAustin FC8 matches

2.63 goals/match▲Goals scored8/81.25 goals/match

0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/83.13 goals/match

3.02 xG/match▲Expected goals6/70.93 xG/match

18.4 shots/match▲Shots8/88.5 shots/match

7 shots/match▲Shots on target8/83 shots/match

53.5%●Possession8/840.6%

6.38 corners/match●Corners8/83.25 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

16.6 fouls/matchFouls8/811.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

53 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/152.9 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples15 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness53 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4