PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Vancouver Whitecaps 1–2 Austin FC · Major League Soccer

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Austin FC won 1–2.

Shots
194
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
2.510.8
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Austin FC beat Vancouver Whitecaps 2–1. Recorded in this match (Vancouver Whitecaps – Austin FC): shots 19–4, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 2.51–0.8, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vancouver Whitecaps show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Vancouver Whitecaps's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.3 shots/match ▲ShotsVancouver Whitecaps · Austin FC10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVancouver WhitecapsAustin FCBaseline
Shots17.3 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against8.04 shots/match16.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Vancouver Whitecaps, Austin FC.

3.83 days ▲Rest daysVancouver Whitecaps · Austin FC3.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricVancouver WhitecapsAustin FCBaseline
Rest days3.83 days3.92 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Vancouver Whitecaps's recent record differs from the season

weak

Vancouver Whitecaps's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.21 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match2.21 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots4 shotsVancouver Whitecaps 19 shots, Austin FC 4 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsVancouver Whitecaps 6 shots, Austin FC 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.51 xG0.8 xGVancouver Whitecaps 2.51 xG, Austin FC 0.8 xG
  • Possession60%40%Vancouver Whitecaps 60%, Austin FC 40%
  • Corners6 corners0 cornersVancouver Whitecaps 6 corners, Austin FC 0 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls14 foulsVancouver Whitecaps 16 fouls, Austin FC 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards5 cardsVancouver Whitecaps 2 cards, Austin FC 5 cards
  • Passes534 passes373 passesVancouver Whitecaps 534 passes, Austin FC 373 passes
  • Pass accuracy87.6%78%Vancouver Whitecaps 87.6%, Austin FC 78%
  • Shots inside box17 shots3 shotsVancouver Whitecaps 17 shots, Austin FC 3 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block1 blockVancouver Whitecaps 1 block, Austin FC 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves5 savesVancouver Whitecaps 0 saves, Austin FC 5 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideVancouver Whitecaps 2 offsides, Austin FC 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 28′Christian RamirezGoal · Austin FC
  2. 35′Jonathan BellYellow card · Austin FC
  3. 37′Joseph RosalesYellow card · Austin FC
  4. 40′Ryan GauldPenalty missed · Vancouver Whitecaps
  5. 45′Oliver LarrazYellow card · Vancouver Whitecaps
  6. Half-time
  7. 47′Guilherme BiroYellow card · Austin FC
  8. 49′Brian WhiteGoal · Vancouver Whitecaps
  9. 60′Christian RamirezGoal · Austin FC
  10. 80′Emmanuel SabbiYellow card · Vancouver Whitecaps
  11. 90′Guilherme BiroSecond yellow · Austin FC
  12. 90′Besard SabovićYellow card · Austin FC
  13. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Vancouver Whitecaps · 1 player changeÉdier Ocampo
  • 58′Austin FC · 1 player changeOleksandr Svatok
  • 64′Vancouver Whitecaps · 2 player changesJeevan Badwal · Emmanuel Sabbi
  • 65′Austin FC · 2 player changesBrandon Vázquez · Žan Kolmanič
  • 71′Vancouver Whitecaps · 1 player changeYadaly Diaby
  • 85′Austin FC · 1 player changeBrendan Hines-Ike
  • 85′Vancouver Whitecaps · 1 player changeRayan Elloumi
  • 85′Austin FC · 1 player changePrzemysław Płacheta

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Vancouver Whitecaps4-2-3-1
  1. Yohei TakaokaG
  2. Mathías LabordaD
  3. Édier OcampoD
  4. Tate JohnsonD
  5. Tristan BlackmonD
  6. Cheick Tidiane SabalyM
  7. Oliver LarrazM
  8. Andrés CubasM
  9. Emmanuel SabbiF
  10. Brian WhiteF
  11. Ryan GauldF
Austin FC3-4-3
  1. Brad StuverG
  2. Mikkel DeslerD
  3. Facundo TorresD
  4. Jonathan BellD
  5. Guilherme BiroD
  6. Ervin TorresD
  7. Ilie SánchezM
  8. Besard SabovićM
  9. Brandon VázquezF
  10. Jon GallagherF
  11. Joseph RosalesF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Vancouver Whitecaps
2Draws
0Austin FC
Austin FC — Vancouver Whitecaps · Major League Soccer0–0
Vancouver Whitecaps — Austin FC · Major League Soccer5–1
Austin FC — Vancouver Whitecaps · Major League Soccer0–1
Vancouver Whitecaps — Austin FC · Major League Soccer0–0
Vancouver Whitecaps — Austin FC · Major League Soccer2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vancouver Whitecaps favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Austin FC in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vancouver Whitecaps24 matchesAustin FC25 matches
2.21 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/251.28 goals/match
0.96 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/251.76 goals/match
2.1 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/220.97 xG/match
17.3 shots/match ▲Shots24/2510.4 shots/match
6.38 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/253.96 shots/match
56.2% ●Possession24/2548.6%
5.88 corners/match ●Corners24/254.44 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards6/52.8 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFouls24/2510.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples24 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 14 Sept 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVancouver WhitecapsAustin FC
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headVancouver Whitecaps — Austin FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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